Saturday, 24 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 24-09

Morning all, 

Three winners and a third from yesterday's write-up, but no time to rest on our laurels as we head to Market Rasen today for a good looking card.

2.00 We start off with a juvenile hurdle and it looks a pretty decent one. Hygrove Percy arrives on the back off a win, but has to shoulder a double penalty, which might complicate matters for him. Cliffs of Dover was good on debut for Paul Nicholls, but I'm going to go for Nachi Falls (4/1). Nigel Hawke's charge is looking for the hattrick and had subsequent winner Milrow ten lenghts behind in third when winning last time. He has also beaten Invocation who re-opposes in his previous win. Of the newcomers Visage Blanc could run a good race, having shown some decent form on the flat for Mick Channon

2.35 Next is a handicap hurdle and Red Tornado arrives in tremendous form having won five on the bounce, but that means he has to shoulder top weight. Wisty bolted up by seventeen lengths last time out and has to be considered, while Mr Kit Kat and Sir Toby also shouldn't be far away. But my pick in the race is Cloonacool (6/1). He won this race last year having been off for a similar period, so does go well fresh. He's been running over fences lately, so this could just be a warm up run for bigger and better things. He's only three lbs higher than last year and I like the booking of Josh Moore.

3.10 A handicap chase next and it's another competitive field. Fox Appeal comes here fresh and usually comes on for the run and hasn't won in a while. Father Edward has a 13 lbs rise in the weights to contend with and that could be too much for David Pipe's last time out winner. Instead I'm going to chance that Vintage Vinnie (11/2) is going to build on his impressive hurdles win last time out and find his way back over fences. If he does still have that ability, he's on a very handy mark and could well make mincemeat of this field.

3.45 A tricky chase next with not that much between the field on form, so I'm going to chance one. Vexillium (8/1) will enjoy the conditions and although he's not without risks, he did win two handicap hurdles this time last year. He won over fences in May before losing his way a bit and was going well when a mistake ended his chances of victory last time out. If he's ironed out the mistakes then he could improve and go close.

4.20 Mares' novice hurdle next and I like Jelly Monger (11/4). She kept on well to win at Fontwell and jumped very well that day to claim the spoils. Late Night Lily is the one to keep an eye on, having been brought down early last time out. But I think the selection has the race fitness edge to see her home.

4.55 A handicap hurdle next up and plenty of C&D form, but the one I like here is one that hasn't been to Market Rasen before. Deserter (2/1) was a seven length winner over Ablazing at Fontwell in August and that one has won again since. He's gone up eight lbs for that win, but he doesn't look finished winning yet and Warren Greatex could well have another decent horse on his hands.

5.30 A bumper to finish proceedings and my eye is immediately drawn to Captain Sam (7/2) for Malcolm Jefferson and Brian Hughes. I am a bit of a fan boy, but he does have a good record in bumpers and his charge was only just denied a win last year, despite running pretty green on the run in. It's a bit of a concern that we haven't seen him since, but he remains with potential. Loud and Clear was a winner last time out, but he has to shoulder a penalty for that and that could prove the difference in a competitive race.

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