Saturday, 17 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 17-09

Morning all,

Finally back in profit with six winners yesterday, although rule fours still cut into the profit a bit. The Game Changer was sadly not good enough, something possibly caused by the ground, but he was well beaten. Frodon on the other hand earned himself a place in my tracker with an easy win over at Newton Abbot and although he over-jumped a couple of fences, he seems to enjoy chasing. The NAP found little for pressure and finished third, but the next best absolutely bolted up. Finally, the third was, was indeed third best as he finished in that position in his race. Still we had our stake returned going each way at 5/1.

An all jumps card from Listowel today, with a couple of well fancied runners like Aspen Colorado and Tocororo. The NAP however is Penhill, who is yet to look a natural over hurdles, but seems to have bags of raw ability and that could just see him through today. Both his wins have come over the two mile trip and he's well suited to conditions.

The Next Best is Not For You for Charlie Byrnes. He was looking to have plenty in hand when carried out last time. The only concern is the recent spate of 'F''s in his form, but other than that it reads well. If he can avoid any mishaps today, he could well run away with the spoils.

I've included two from the Ayr meeting, Shipyard in the Silver Cup and two from the Gold Cup. Shipyard ran well for 6th last week and I think a first time visor could give him the necessary improvement to get into the frame today. In the Gold Cup, I've gone for Orion's Bow & Aeolus. The former has been in tremendous form this year, although he didn't fire in the Great St Wilfried. He's had a break since then and hopefully that'll see him bounce back. The other is Aeolus, who has only ran in group company for the last two years and steps down in class. He's not been out of place in those group races, including winning a group 3 last year. If he can run to a similar form to his fourth in the Group 3 at Newbury, he should be on the premises.

Listowel
1.50 Aspen Colorado 8/15
2.20 Penhill 7/4 NAP
2.55 Diamond Dame 6/1
3.30 Buster Dan Dan 11/1
4.05 Katie Do 8/1
4.40 Not For You 2/1 NB
5.10 Tocororo 8/11
5.45 The Winkler 13/2

Ayr
2.35 Shipyard 16/1
3.45 Orion's Bow 14/1
       Aeolus 20/1


Yesterday's Results

Hexham
4.30 Nonchalant  4/1 - 5th
5.05 Blake Dean 13/8 - 4th
5.35 Black Ivory 7/4 NAP - 3rd
6.05 Follow The Swallow 6/1 - Unseated Rider
6.35 Wyfield Rose 11/2 NB - Won @ 6/1 (20pR4)
7.05 Fred Le Macon 5/1 - Won

Newton Abbot
1.50 Bilidn 20/1 - Non Runner
2.20 Master Dancer 3/1  - Won
2.55 Frodon 4/6 - Won
3.30 The Wealerdealer 5/1 3B - 3rd
4.05 Strumble Head 8/1 - 6th
4.40 Honourable Exit 16/1 - 8th
5.15 Pokari 5/2 - Won (50pR4)

Listowel
4.20 The Game Changer 4/9 Tracker - 3rd
4.55 Tristam Shandy 8/1 - 3rd (40pR4)
5.25 Electric Concorde 8/11 - Won @ 10/11 

5.55 Trans Highway 10/11 - 2nd

Points Staked: 34
Points Returned: 43.61
Profit: 9.61
Running Total: -16.00 (since 30th August)

Selections are 2 points win at 9/2 or smaller and 1 point each way at 5/1 or bigger

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