Morning all,
Another good looking jumps card comes from Perth today and I've gone through the card below.
2.20 A tricky race to open up with, only five runners, but all of them have a reasonable chance. Our Cat has been in good form over the summer and boasts race fitness, as does Lily Yeats, who has to give weight away all around. But I was quite taken by Only Orvieto (7/2) on bumper debut at Sedgefield. She kept on well under Jamie Hamilton to win by four lengths that day, with the third another 39 lengths behind. Obviously it's a new discipline for her here, going hurdling for the first time, but she's in capable hands with Brian Hughes doing the steering. If she's fit and ready to go first time out, she could well take the beating.
2.55 I said yesterday it could be a good day for Fergal O'Brien and I think Crown Hill (6/1) has what it takes to be a decent chaser. He showed improvement last time out with a first time hood fitted and if the head gear has the same effect now chasing for the first time, he could get the better of the Nigel Twiston-Davies pair and Orchard Road for Gordon Elliot.
3.30 Probably the worst race on the card is the claiming hurdle and the best form on offer is probable No Win No Fee (13/8), who beat Tahira (a winner yesterday) in a novice hurdle at Stratford back in July and although his form has been indifferent since, he should be the one to beat here.
4.05 A good handicap chase next and you could make cases for a fair few of these. Kilronan High looks well handicapped on her best form, while Western Home won a chase at Cartmel before having two runs over hurdles. There's also three C&D winners in the field in By The Boardwalk (last year's winner), Kilbree Kid for Tom George and Tangolan (5/1) for Fergal O'Brien. The latter would be my selection. He scored a good win here in June, before returning a narrow second over shorter two weeks ago. His jumping wasn't at his best that time and if he's sharpened up from that, he should run a big race.
4.40 A very interesting race. Gold Chain comes here two lbs out of the handicap and has stamina to prove despite going well in a hood and is discounted. Frontier Vic has two wins at Perth, including one over this distance and he won at Ffos Las in June. He's been raised another seven lbs for that and that could stop him. Instead I'm going to take a chance on Sun Cloud (13/2). A very useful staying chaser, he usually takes in this race before going back to chasing and it could only be a pipe opener for him. That said, he races off 11 lbs lower than when he was third last year and has been given a genuine chance by the handicapper. That could well be enough for Malcolm Jefferson's charge to make hay and I'd expect him to hit the frame at least.
5.15 A juvenile hurdle and therefore difficult to assess, but Nigel Hawke makes a very long journey from down South to run Atlantic King (10/1). He also has one in the last, but it's telling that he would take a young horse so far when there's decent opportunities down South to run this gelding. Tom Scudamore is booked for the ride and at the prices I'm happy to chance him.
5.45 Finally, in the last, I'm going to side with Shaiyzar (9/1). He caught the eye running here last time out, two weeks ago, finishing third behind the re-opposing Mollies Gent. He wasn't beaten far that time and is better off at the weights this time around. Henry Brooke is a very useful jockey and if his charge is in a similar mood, he could again go close.
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