Sunday, 18 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 18-09

Morning all,

A great start yesterday, with both Aspen Colorado and NAP Penhill bringing home the honours despite drifting in the market. But it was all downhill from there, even though Katie Do returned from a long absence to grab a place. Next Best Not For You could only manage second and highly fancied Tocororo was a non-runner. Things didn't get any better at Ayr with all three selections well beaten.

Today we have two jumps meetings, at Uttoxeter and Plumpton. We start at the latter venue with the NAP in the 3.00. Shady Glen has been in top form since returning this season. He started with a failure to complete at Market Rasen over hurdles, but hasn't looked back since returning to chasing. He's grabbed wins at Startford and Worcester as well as seconds at both venues. He was only half a length of winner Pawn Star last time out, but his 14 length win at Stratford is the key piece of form. He had several subsequent winners behind that day and it's the best piece of form in the race. If he can run to a similar level here under Kielan Woods, he has a great chance.

Next we go to Uttoxeter, where Ben Cee Pee M runs 20 minutes earlier. He's placed in his last two starts and it's another race that isn't the strongest. The only runner in behind last time has won since, so it reads as decent form. Brian Ellison and Henry Brooke are both in decent nick and I'm hoping for a bold showing.

Finally, we take in the 4.10, which looks a pretty good race on paper. Surf and Turf improved on his previous efforts by finishing third at Stratford last time out for his new yard. He's been running primarily over two miles for Kevin Frost, although he did win over two mile four at Southwell back in 2014. Back at that distance again, he is now ten lbs below his last winning mark and if he can carry on from his Stratford efforts. Perhaps a crucial pointer is that his best efforts come going left-handed, with seven wins and six seconds coming left-handed, as opposed one win and two seconds going right handed. At 8/1 it seems a decent punt to me.


Uttoxetter
1.40 Burrows Lane 2/1
2.10 Flemensbay 28/1
2.40 Ben Cee Pee M 11/4 NB
3.10 Gingili 10/1
3.40 Bold Henmie 7/1
4.10 Surf And Turf 8/1 3B
4.40 Cruise In Style 10/1
5.10 Maizy Missile 11/2

Plumpton
2.00 Blue Et Noir 15/8
2.30 My Brother Sylvest 5/1
3.00 Shady Glen  11/4 NAP
3.30 East Indies 9/4
4.00 Knight Bachelor 6/4
4.30 Lakeshore Lady 9/2
5.00 Zarliman 12/1

Yesterday's Results
Listowel
1.50 Aspen Colorado 8/15 - Won @ 6/4
2.20 Penhill 7/4 NAP - Won - 2/1
2.55 Diamond Dame 6/1 - 9th
3.30 Buster Dan Dan 11/1 - 9th
4.05 Katie Do 8/1 - 2nd
4.40 Not For You 2/1 NB - 2nd
5.10 Tocororo 8/11 - NR
5.45 The Winkler 13/2 -6th

Ayr

2.35 Shipyard 16/1 - 16th
3.45 Orion's Bow 14/1 - 15th 
       Aeolus 20/1 - 9th

Points Staked: 22
Points Returned: 18
Profit: -4.00
Running Total: -20.00 (since 30th August)

Selections are 2 points win at 9/2 or smaller and 1 point each way at 5/1 or bigger

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