Reds Racing Tips 15-09

Morning all,

Three winners yesterday was not enough to return a profit, mainly due to one of them being hit by a hefty R4. The best three were also disappointing, even more so because the NB Martila drifted to an each way price and then finished second.

Only half a jumps card from Listowel today, so I've chanced my hand at the Ayr festival and also picked out two from Yarmouth that I think should really go well. Conditions could be crucial, as Listowel is said to be heavy and Ayr on the soft side with more rain forecast. Those conditions should suit the NAP today, Almovodar. He has to give weight to his main rival Abdon, but he has a good record in softer ground, is a winner over and C&D and takes a step down in grade to compete here. Third in the Hardwicke at Ascot, a similar run going forwards should see him go close

The other two come from Yarmouth, where the ground is better and I fancy Battered to put that to good use in the 2.45. He was well backed last time out at York, despite being stuck out wide and still managed to finish third. William Haggas has his yard in fine fettle and this son of Foxwedge could have a big say on proceedings.

Haggas has Valley of Fire in the last and things finally seem to have clicked for this one with a win last time out at Haydock. This is a weaker race than that one and despite a 3 lbs higher mark, he seemed to have more in the tank at Haydock and is fancied to follow up.

Listowel
4.05 Woodford Island 7/2
4.40 Mister Hotelier 14/1
5.15 Buckskin Boulta 15/2
5.45 Miss Eyecatcher 5/1

Ayr
1.30 Double Touch 11/4
2.00 Argaki 14/1
2.35 Donnelly's Rainbow 18/1
3.05 Safe Voyage 4/1
3.40 Falcon's Fire 7/2
4.15 Sattelac 9/1
4.50 Almovodar  7/4 NAP
5.20 Go Go Green 12/1

Yarmouth
2.45 Battered 5/2 NB

5.30 Valley of Fire 3/1 3B

Yesterday's Results
Kelso
4.15 Theligny 1/1 - Won
4.50 Amilliontimes 7/2 - Won (35pR4)
5.25 Touch of Steel 10/1 - Pulled Up
6.00 Nautical Twilight 7/1 3B - 5th
6.30 Martila 7/2 NB - 2nd
7.00 Temple Man 5/4 NAP - 3rd

Listowel
4.10 Folsom Blue 7/1 - Pulled Up
4.45 Screaming Rose 11/10 - 3rd
5.20 Timiyan 13/8 - Won @ 9/4
5.50 Fortuna Iuvat 11/4 - 4th

Points Staked: 20
Points Returned: 16.60
Profit: -3.40
Running Total: -15.49 (since 30th August)

Selections are 2 points win at 9/2 or smaller and 1 point each way at 5/1 or bigger