Wednesday, 14 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 14-09

Morning all,

Back after a bit of a break, I've been freshened up and hopefully we can return straight to form after some disappointing efforts. 

There's an evening card from Kelso, as well as four jumps races at Listowel, including the Kerry National. In that race, I like the look of the favourite, Folsom Blue. He's got good form and is the pick of the Gigginstown battalions judging by the booking of Cooper. Mouse Morris won this last year and has a chance to repeat that this year. Gordon Elliot fires a large amount of darts, but he needs one to improve to land the pot.

The best three come from Kelso and we start in the bumper where Malcolm Jefferson has Temple Man. He's a half-brother to a number of National Hunt winner and Jefferson has an excellent bumper record. 5/4 seems a fair price and with stable jockey Brian Hughes on board this should be a winner on the board. 

In the 6.30, Martila has an excellent chance to complete a hattrick. She won a novice hurdle before following up with an impressive handicap win at Cartmel by 13 lengths. She gets a massive weight allowance from the other top runners in the race and that could well make the difference.

Finally, in the 6.00, there's another Jefferson runner I'm keen on. Nautical Twilight had a fruitful spell towards the end of last year, only just being denied a hattrick on the line at Catterick. She goes well fresh, judging by her second place after a long break this time last year. I don't think there's much between her, Theflyingportrait and Roman Flight, but she's a much bigger price at 7/1 and represents the value.

14-09
Kelso
4.15 Theligny 1/1
4.50 Amilliontimes 7/2
5.25 Touch of Steel 10/1
6.00 Nautical Twilight 7/1 3B
6.30 Martila 7/2 NB
7.00 Temple Man 5/4 NAP

Listowel
4.10 Folsom Blue 7/1
4.45 Screaming Rose 11/10
5.20 Timiyan 13/8

5.50 Fortuna Iuvat 11/4

Previous Results (8th of September)
Doncaster
1.55 Arwa 8/1 - 7th
2.30 Blending 11/4 - 6th
3.05 Simple Verse 5/1 - Won
3.40 Stormy Clouds 7/1 - 7th
4.15 Poet's Word 7/4 - 2nd
4.50 Hydroxide 3/1 - 2nd
6.00 Shipyard 14/1 - 6th

Points Staked: 14
Points Returned: 8.25
Profit: -5.75
Running Total: -12.09 (since 30th August)

Selections are 2 points a win at 9/2 or smaller and 1 point each way at 5/1 or bigger

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