Hi all,
Quick update on the only Hobson runner tomorrow. A change of plans means that Dame Rose is set to run in the bumper at Warwick at 5.15. Conor O'Farrell keeps the ride after a great job last time out when she ran out an excellent winner at Doncaster. The form of that race was franked earlier in the week when the fourth and fifth finished first and second at Wetherby. The sixth was denied by a head in an earlier race this month. She looks like she should be able to cope with the softer ground and they way she has stayed on in her races suggests that she should have the stamina to see out a trip on this ground. She has to carry a penalty for her last success, but she's still getting weight from her two main rivals.
The market seems to suggest that Nicky Henderson's Turn Turk is fancied, despite the form of her only win not working out particularly well (only the third from that race has hit the frame since). The jockey claims 7 lbs to negate most of the penalty, but she has it all to do. Third in the market is Grey Warbler who finished second to JP McManus' horse Champ at Southwell on debut. That form looks decent enough, although she was getting over a stone (if you include the jockey's claim) from the horse named after AP McCoy and was still beaten by over three lengths. This time round, she has to give weight to all bar the Henderson horse and that could be trickier. Royal Claret has some decent form in the book, but looks held by Dame Rose on a form line through My Michelle.
Of the newcomers, Potters Angelique could be a useful sort and she could be one to keep an eye on. Having said that, Dame Rose looks to have an excellent chance to win here and I'll happily back her at the current prices (3/1 available).
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