Morning all,
An excellent day yesterday as Fiddlers Reel, Sharpasaknife and Stellarta all won at a decent prices and debutant General Hazard earned himself a place.
Not as much to get excited about today, but I've picked out a few that should go close. We start at Chepstow in the 2.40 where Pied Du Roi is a touch big at 9/1. He ran ok when reappearing at Doncaster at the start of March and if you look at his record he usually needs the run after a break. He still finished fourth on this last occasion though and that is hopefully some sign that he can replicate his winning form from Towcester last May. He'll enjoy the drying ground and should give a decent show for Charlie Longsdon here.
Over in Ireland, Fine Article is one that has been on my tracker for a while and he runs in the 2.55 at Thurles. This is his best trip and he's been placed seven times out of nine runs in similar underfoot conditions (albeit never won). This looks his chance though. He's finished behind the likes of No More Heroes and Alisier D'Irlande before so he's no slouch. So Young could well be a false favourite for Willie Mullins and has the bounce factor to worry about, this being his second race after a three year lay off. At 4/1, the selection is a value alternative.
Ludlow next and Unbuckled is two from three over this distance and in these conditions. He takes on some decent horses, but many of them are more exposed and this decent ground could well be in his favour on handicap debut for Neil King. Hopefully he's fit and ready to go, because his main rivals do have recent form, but 9/2 is a reasonable price to find out.
Finally, we go to Wolverhampton where Powerful Dream is the pick in the 4.00. She is two from two on the all weather, including a win here and could well make it three in a row under Luke Morris. She has gone up a bit more in the weights, but I think she can defy that rise to take the prize here today.
Today's selections
Chepstow
2.40 Pied Du Roi 9/1
Ludlow
3.40 Unbuckled 9/2
Wolverhampton
4.00 Powerful Dream 4/1
Thurles
2.55 Fine Article 4/1
Yesterday's results
Haydock
4.30 Fiddlers Reel 14/1 Won
5.00 Sharpasaknife 15/8 Won
Warwick
4.20 Mini Muck 11/1 5th
Kempton
6.15 General Hazard 20/1 3rd at 25/1
8.15 Stellarta 11/2 Won at 6/1
8.45 Clement 5/1 7th
Thursday 24 March 2016
Wednesday 23 March 2016
What's next for Rich' Riches?
What's next for Mullins' Riches? (part one)
By @Redgameracer
If the 2016 festival told us one thing, it's surely that it's impossible to guess where Willie Mullins is going to send his horses. Yet, I'm going to attempt to do just that for next year. Or better, I'm going to give my opinion on where I would run them if they were mine. Oh, if only!
Let's take all the exciting talent from the Mullins yard under consideration. He has barns full of wonderful animals that would be stable stars in any other yard. We'll start on day one with race one, the Supreme. Min was a well beaten second and the general comments after the race were, that's as good as he is. He made some mistakes, jumping some of his hurdles from well out, suggesting that he's already been schooling over fences and it wouldn't surprise me if he goes chasing. The JLT or the Arkle would be the likely targets. Bellshill ran well below par on a trip that is way to short for him. Stepping up to three miles would be my suggestion, but it probably depends on some of the other Wylie horses whether or not he goes chasing. Petit Mouchoir is not quite the same potential, but he'll be a useful horse wherever he goes next.
Douvan was an easy winner of the Arkle and for my money, you have to send him to the Champion Chase. We certainly haven't seen the best of him yet, but he has every inch the potential to rule whatever division they decide to run him. I wouldn't send him to the Gold Cup just yet, not least because this will be Ricci's best chance of winning the QMCC. Of course, a step up in trip would not be out of the question, but the Ryanair is very much the ugly duckling of the big races and that would only be a fall back option, I'd say.
It gets more tricky as we look at the runners from the Champion Hurdle. Annie Power broke the track record on her way to glory and ran really really well, but now what? Faugheen is still waiting in the wings once he recovers from injury and then there's Arctic Fire as well. One thing we'll know is that the big two won't ever meet. It simply won't happen. In which case for my money, you keep Faugheen in the Champion Hurdle and drop Annie back to the Mares. It might seem a relegation to all her fans, but it's simple calculus. Faugheen is rated much higher and therefore should run in the bigger race. I don't think I'd want to step either of them up in trip to three miles either, so keeping them apart this way would be the plan. Arctic Fire and Nichols Canyon however, could both make the step up to three miles. The former has been tried at the trip and failed before, but he's getting more and more competition and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him miss out. Sempre Medici will probably run in handicap company.
The Mares Hurdle then and Vroum Vroum Mag surely has to go chasing. She won the mares with ease, but she's such a great jumper that I'd rather see her over fences. The Ryanair would be my preferred option, but a lot of that will depend on the other Ricci stars, no doubt. There's still the matter of Vautour to sort out after all.
Mullins had three in the Neptune, including the very impressive winner Yorkhill. He looks like a chaser and is bred for it as well. I'm sure they'll try to avoid the clash with Min again, which is why I'd send him to the Arkle and Min to the JLT. I think Yorkhill will fare better over two miles and Min might benefit from a step up in trip. Of the two, I'd say Yorkhill was the more likely chaser anyway and the Arkle would be a bigger race for me. I'm not sure where A Toi Phil and Bello Conti would go, but since they're Gigginstown horses, I'd imagine chasing is on the cards for them as well. Thomas Hobson could well benefit from a step back in trip and it wouldn't surprise me to see him run in the Champion Hurdle. Ricci has already said he reminds him of Faugheen (especially the way he clouts through a hurdle) and two miles might suit him better.
The RSA had no Ricci horses in it, but there was still Roi des Francs for Gigginstown and Shaneshill for Wylie. The former disappointed and I'm not really sure where he goes from here. The four-miler was an option earlier in the season, but he was re-routed here. He never really got into it and it's difficult to see where next with him. Shaneshill seemed to enjoy the longer trip, staying on reasonably well, but his jumping was disappointing at times. Another who I'm not really sure where to go with from here.
Un de Sceaux was well beaten by the rejuvinated Sprinter Sacre, but there was nothing lost in defeat. He's still only eight and has a chance to improve yet. The ground may have gone against him and I'd expect him to give a much bolder showing in softer ground. He may miss the festival all together next year if the ground is decent. One thing I did notice, was that he wasn't his usual 'mad bastard' self. He seemed more reserved and controlled and I'm not sure if that was to his advantage. Felix Yonger didn't jump well and was pulled up. The old soldier doesn't quite live up to this sort of level and will be better served slightly below these races.
One to take out of the Fred Winter would be Voix Du Reve. He was in with every chance coming to the last and could well have won the race. No idea where he'll go from here and it's pretty hard to predict with Mullins anyway, but he's one to keep an eye out for. The same could be said for the many runners in the Champion Bumper, especially the front few from the yard Battleford and Bacardys and Castello Sforza. I'm sure we'll see more of all three of those.
In the next installment, we'll look at the other two days, including my thoughts on Vautour and Djakadam.
By @Redgameracer
If the 2016 festival told us one thing, it's surely that it's impossible to guess where Willie Mullins is going to send his horses. Yet, I'm going to attempt to do just that for next year. Or better, I'm going to give my opinion on where I would run them if they were mine. Oh, if only!
Let's take all the exciting talent from the Mullins yard under consideration. He has barns full of wonderful animals that would be stable stars in any other yard. We'll start on day one with race one, the Supreme. Min was a well beaten second and the general comments after the race were, that's as good as he is. He made some mistakes, jumping some of his hurdles from well out, suggesting that he's already been schooling over fences and it wouldn't surprise me if he goes chasing. The JLT or the Arkle would be the likely targets. Bellshill ran well below par on a trip that is way to short for him. Stepping up to three miles would be my suggestion, but it probably depends on some of the other Wylie horses whether or not he goes chasing. Petit Mouchoir is not quite the same potential, but he'll be a useful horse wherever he goes next.
Douvan was an easy winner of the Arkle and for my money, you have to send him to the Champion Chase. We certainly haven't seen the best of him yet, but he has every inch the potential to rule whatever division they decide to run him. I wouldn't send him to the Gold Cup just yet, not least because this will be Ricci's best chance of winning the QMCC. Of course, a step up in trip would not be out of the question, but the Ryanair is very much the ugly duckling of the big races and that would only be a fall back option, I'd say.
It gets more tricky as we look at the runners from the Champion Hurdle. Annie Power broke the track record on her way to glory and ran really really well, but now what? Faugheen is still waiting in the wings once he recovers from injury and then there's Arctic Fire as well. One thing we'll know is that the big two won't ever meet. It simply won't happen. In which case for my money, you keep Faugheen in the Champion Hurdle and drop Annie back to the Mares. It might seem a relegation to all her fans, but it's simple calculus. Faugheen is rated much higher and therefore should run in the bigger race. I don't think I'd want to step either of them up in trip to three miles either, so keeping them apart this way would be the plan. Arctic Fire and Nichols Canyon however, could both make the step up to three miles. The former has been tried at the trip and failed before, but he's getting more and more competition and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him miss out. Sempre Medici will probably run in handicap company.
The Mares Hurdle then and Vroum Vroum Mag surely has to go chasing. She won the mares with ease, but she's such a great jumper that I'd rather see her over fences. The Ryanair would be my preferred option, but a lot of that will depend on the other Ricci stars, no doubt. There's still the matter of Vautour to sort out after all.
Mullins had three in the Neptune, including the very impressive winner Yorkhill. He looks like a chaser and is bred for it as well. I'm sure they'll try to avoid the clash with Min again, which is why I'd send him to the Arkle and Min to the JLT. I think Yorkhill will fare better over two miles and Min might benefit from a step up in trip. Of the two, I'd say Yorkhill was the more likely chaser anyway and the Arkle would be a bigger race for me. I'm not sure where A Toi Phil and Bello Conti would go, but since they're Gigginstown horses, I'd imagine chasing is on the cards for them as well. Thomas Hobson could well benefit from a step back in trip and it wouldn't surprise me to see him run in the Champion Hurdle. Ricci has already said he reminds him of Faugheen (especially the way he clouts through a hurdle) and two miles might suit him better.
The RSA had no Ricci horses in it, but there was still Roi des Francs for Gigginstown and Shaneshill for Wylie. The former disappointed and I'm not really sure where he goes from here. The four-miler was an option earlier in the season, but he was re-routed here. He never really got into it and it's difficult to see where next with him. Shaneshill seemed to enjoy the longer trip, staying on reasonably well, but his jumping was disappointing at times. Another who I'm not really sure where to go with from here.
Un de Sceaux was well beaten by the rejuvinated Sprinter Sacre, but there was nothing lost in defeat. He's still only eight and has a chance to improve yet. The ground may have gone against him and I'd expect him to give a much bolder showing in softer ground. He may miss the festival all together next year if the ground is decent. One thing I did notice, was that he wasn't his usual 'mad bastard' self. He seemed more reserved and controlled and I'm not sure if that was to his advantage. Felix Yonger didn't jump well and was pulled up. The old soldier doesn't quite live up to this sort of level and will be better served slightly below these races.
One to take out of the Fred Winter would be Voix Du Reve. He was in with every chance coming to the last and could well have won the race. No idea where he'll go from here and it's pretty hard to predict with Mullins anyway, but he's one to keep an eye out for. The same could be said for the many runners in the Champion Bumper, especially the front few from the yard Battleford and Bacardys and Castello Sforza. I'm sure we'll see more of all three of those.
In the next installment, we'll look at the other two days, including my thoughts on Vautour and Djakadam.
Reds Racing Tips 23-03
Morning all,
I haven't got loads for today, but a couple of interesting ones none the less.
We start the 4.30 at Haydock, where Fiddlers Reel looks very well treated on his best form. You have to take it at face value that he's fit and ready after two years of and it's obviously a big negative. But in this sort of going, he's got two wins and five places from 12 races and on his best form, he is a player. Interesting to see what he can do and at 14/1 I'm tempted to back him to find out. In the last at the same venue Sharpasaknife is no price at 15/8, but was utterly convincing when winning on debut in heavy ground for Malcolm Jefferson. He finsihed a good second since at Market Rasen and if he handles the better ground, he should provide the Jefferson & Hughes combination with another winner.
Just one from Warwick, in the 4.20. Mini Muck is the only C&D winner in the field and although he's not been doing well over fences, a return to smaller obstacles and better going may well see him in a better light. Sam Twiston-Davies rides for his father Nigel and both have been in decent form lately. 11/1 is still generally available and seems a reasonable price.
Finally a couple from Kempton. First it's General Hazard from the 6.15, He's well related to a couple of winners, including San Quentin, who readers of my blog will remember for a couple of decent priced wins this winter. His dam has also won over this sort of distance and although he could be anything on debut, you wouldn't be surprised if this one was ready to go first time out. At a huge price of 20/1 I'll be taking a little punt. I'll also turn my eye to Stellarta in the 8.15 and Clement in the 8.45. The former won over this distance at Lingfield last time out, but has won at this track before. He's only two pounds higher than his last time win and that could well give him the edge over the other fancied horse in this, Under Siege. Clement meanwhile was only seventh last time out, but that was stepping up to class two. He drops back down to class four now and he recorded the best time figure last time out. Georgia Cox was on board for his hattrick and although it's a concern that all of his wins were at Lingfield, he could well give a bold showing here today.
Full Selections for today:
Haydock
4.30 Fiddlers Reel 14/1
5.00 Sharpasaknife 15/8
Warwick
4.20 Mini Muck 11/1
Kempton
6.15 General Hazard 20/1
8.15 Stellarta 11/2
8.45 Clement 5/1
I haven't got loads for today, but a couple of interesting ones none the less.
We start the 4.30 at Haydock, where Fiddlers Reel looks very well treated on his best form. You have to take it at face value that he's fit and ready after two years of and it's obviously a big negative. But in this sort of going, he's got two wins and five places from 12 races and on his best form, he is a player. Interesting to see what he can do and at 14/1 I'm tempted to back him to find out. In the last at the same venue Sharpasaknife is no price at 15/8, but was utterly convincing when winning on debut in heavy ground for Malcolm Jefferson. He finsihed a good second since at Market Rasen and if he handles the better ground, he should provide the Jefferson & Hughes combination with another winner.
Just one from Warwick, in the 4.20. Mini Muck is the only C&D winner in the field and although he's not been doing well over fences, a return to smaller obstacles and better going may well see him in a better light. Sam Twiston-Davies rides for his father Nigel and both have been in decent form lately. 11/1 is still generally available and seems a reasonable price.
Finally a couple from Kempton. First it's General Hazard from the 6.15, He's well related to a couple of winners, including San Quentin, who readers of my blog will remember for a couple of decent priced wins this winter. His dam has also won over this sort of distance and although he could be anything on debut, you wouldn't be surprised if this one was ready to go first time out. At a huge price of 20/1 I'll be taking a little punt. I'll also turn my eye to Stellarta in the 8.15 and Clement in the 8.45. The former won over this distance at Lingfield last time out, but has won at this track before. He's only two pounds higher than his last time win and that could well give him the edge over the other fancied horse in this, Under Siege. Clement meanwhile was only seventh last time out, but that was stepping up to class two. He drops back down to class four now and he recorded the best time figure last time out. Georgia Cox was on board for his hattrick and although it's a concern that all of his wins were at Lingfield, he could well give a bold showing here today.
Full Selections for today:
Haydock
4.30 Fiddlers Reel 14/1
5.00 Sharpasaknife 15/8
Warwick
4.20 Mini Muck 11/1
Kempton
6.15 General Hazard 20/1
8.15 Stellarta 11/2
8.45 Clement 5/1
Monday 21 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 21-03
Morning all,
Well a rather spectacular failure of the first day in a new format, the full results are below, but only one of them even placed. All three meetings today are over jumps and hopefully we can get some better results.
At Kelso's 4.00 Cracked Rear View is 10/3 and that is a decent enough price. He was an impressive winner last time out and could have more to offer in handicap company. He is two from two in similiar underfoot conditions and hopefully that'll help him get the better of Captain Redbeard and L'Aigle Royal
At Taunton, what looks to be today's best meeting, I have two fancies. In the 4.10, Kerryhead Storm can hopefully follow up his success at Leicester with another good run here today. At 5/1, he offers some each way value against the favourite. He has to defy a five lbs rise though, but I wouldn't put that past him if he turns up in a similar mood as last time. In the last, I'll take a chance on Jully Les Buxy at 9/1. She comes here with a low weight and was second only to Lifeboat Mona on her penultimate start. She ran a decent race for fourth in a handicap since and this step up in trip could well spark some more improvement.
Finally, at Southwell. I've got a few I like. I'm a big fan of Malcolm Jefferson and he runs two down here. Dante's Way with Brian Hughes on board and McGregor's Cottage in the last. The latter has claimer Jamie Hamilton on board to negate a seven lbs penalty, but he's got some good form in the book and could have an each way squeak. Dante's Way, in the Many Clouds colours, has won a bumper and came third in another and makes his debut over hurdles here. It looks a winnable race for him and he could give a bold showing. Short price though. Two more though, first of all Robinshill in the 3.20. He fell in a novice hurdle behind Bun Doran and hasn't always looked fluent, but this son of Robin Des Champs is well bred and he could improve for the in-form yard of Nigel Twiston-Davies. At 14/1 he's worth a little each way money. The last one then, is Mondo Cane in the 4.50. It's a decent race, but at 6/1, this last time out winner could well defy a five lbs rise. He's got both course and distance form, although never together at this track, but he's usually been there or thereabouts in his races and I think he can win again.
Today's Selections
Kelso
4.00 Cracked Rear View 10/3
Southwell
3.20 Robinshill 14/1 EW
3.50 Dante's Way 15/8
4.50 Mondo Cane 6/1 EW
5.20 McGregor's Cottage 7/1 EW
Taunton
4.10 Kerryhead Storm 5/1 EW
4.40 Jully Les Buxy 9/1 EW
=======================================
Yesterday's Results
Carlisle
3.55 Tullamore Dew - 7th
5.00 Long Run - 5th
Ffos Las
2.30 Bonobo - 4th
3.40 Never Says Never - 5th
Downpatrick
2.55 De Plotting Shed - 2nd
3.30 Authorized Cadeaux - 10th
4.05 Nickname Exit - 10th
Tulsa Jack - 5th
Curragh
3.15 Katimavik - 12th
3.50 Fluff - 5th
4.55 Ashraf - 22nd
Well a rather spectacular failure of the first day in a new format, the full results are below, but only one of them even placed. All three meetings today are over jumps and hopefully we can get some better results.
At Kelso's 4.00 Cracked Rear View is 10/3 and that is a decent enough price. He was an impressive winner last time out and could have more to offer in handicap company. He is two from two in similiar underfoot conditions and hopefully that'll help him get the better of Captain Redbeard and L'Aigle Royal
At Taunton, what looks to be today's best meeting, I have two fancies. In the 4.10, Kerryhead Storm can hopefully follow up his success at Leicester with another good run here today. At 5/1, he offers some each way value against the favourite. He has to defy a five lbs rise though, but I wouldn't put that past him if he turns up in a similar mood as last time. In the last, I'll take a chance on Jully Les Buxy at 9/1. She comes here with a low weight and was second only to Lifeboat Mona on her penultimate start. She ran a decent race for fourth in a handicap since and this step up in trip could well spark some more improvement.
Finally, at Southwell. I've got a few I like. I'm a big fan of Malcolm Jefferson and he runs two down here. Dante's Way with Brian Hughes on board and McGregor's Cottage in the last. The latter has claimer Jamie Hamilton on board to negate a seven lbs penalty, but he's got some good form in the book and could have an each way squeak. Dante's Way, in the Many Clouds colours, has won a bumper and came third in another and makes his debut over hurdles here. It looks a winnable race for him and he could give a bold showing. Short price though. Two more though, first of all Robinshill in the 3.20. He fell in a novice hurdle behind Bun Doran and hasn't always looked fluent, but this son of Robin Des Champs is well bred and he could improve for the in-form yard of Nigel Twiston-Davies. At 14/1 he's worth a little each way money. The last one then, is Mondo Cane in the 4.50. It's a decent race, but at 6/1, this last time out winner could well defy a five lbs rise. He's got both course and distance form, although never together at this track, but he's usually been there or thereabouts in his races and I think he can win again.
Today's Selections
Kelso
4.00 Cracked Rear View 10/3
Southwell
3.20 Robinshill 14/1 EW
3.50 Dante's Way 15/8
4.50 Mondo Cane 6/1 EW
5.20 McGregor's Cottage 7/1 EW
Taunton
4.10 Kerryhead Storm 5/1 EW
4.40 Jully Les Buxy 9/1 EW
=======================================
Yesterday's Results
Carlisle
3.55 Tullamore Dew - 7th
5.00 Long Run - 5th
Ffos Las
2.30 Bonobo - 4th
3.40 Never Says Never - 5th
Downpatrick
2.55 De Plotting Shed - 2nd
3.30 Authorized Cadeaux - 10th
4.05 Nickname Exit - 10th
Tulsa Jack - 5th
Curragh
3.15 Katimavik - 12th
3.50 Fluff - 5th
4.55 Ashraf - 22nd
Saturday 19 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 20-03
Evening all,
Going to try a slightly different format for this week. I won't be discussing and tipping every race, but I'll still have a look at every card and see if there's anything that stands out.
For Sunday, we have three jumps meetings and the first flat meeting of the season over at the Curragh. I'll start at Carlisle though, where former Gold Cup winner Long Run is an eye catcher in the last. Obviously a watching brief after two years off and at very short odds, but it will be interesting to see how he goes and if he retains any of that old ability. If anything, this has been the year for comebacks, so you wouldn't rule it out. In the 3.55 Tullamore Dew looks an interesting price at 9/1, having won over C&D earlier this season. He could well run a big race for in form connections of a reasonable mark.
There's two I like at Ffos Las, Bonobo at 5/1 in the 2.30 and Never Says Never at 7/2 in the 3.40. The latter was still in with a chance of landing a hattrick when falling last time out, but beat some useful sorts before that and could well come back to winning ways here. The former looks to be improving this season and will enjoy conditions. He's won on his only start here and Williams & Wedge had a (fortuitous) winner at Uttoxeter on Saturday so are in decent nick.
Gold Cup winning Gordon Elliot will probably have a good day at Downpatrick with De Plotting Shed (5/2), Autorized Cadeaux (5/2) and Nickname Exit (8/1) all in with a good chance. The latter will have to see off Tulsa Jack (8/1) for Noel Meade though. He looks to have strong form if you can forgive his last run. He's been freshened up since then, so could give a bold showing.
Finally, we go to the flat at the Curragh. I'll happily admit that I'm not the most into flat racing and especially in Ireland. My tactic would usually be to follow horses trained by the obvious ones. Jim Bolger, Aiden O'Brien or Dermot Weld the chief names. Three I like here are Katimavik in the 3.15 at 6/1, Fluff at 5/1 in the 3.50 and finally Ashraf at 9/2 in the 4.55. The latter is unexposed, but a worthy favourite. He drops back to a mile after a poor show over 10f last time out and is the one to beat for me. Fluff is one from one and should give a good run against strong opposition while Katimavik is another course winner who should enjoy conditions.
Good luck all and happy punting.
Going to try a slightly different format for this week. I won't be discussing and tipping every race, but I'll still have a look at every card and see if there's anything that stands out.
For Sunday, we have three jumps meetings and the first flat meeting of the season over at the Curragh. I'll start at Carlisle though, where former Gold Cup winner Long Run is an eye catcher in the last. Obviously a watching brief after two years off and at very short odds, but it will be interesting to see how he goes and if he retains any of that old ability. If anything, this has been the year for comebacks, so you wouldn't rule it out. In the 3.55 Tullamore Dew looks an interesting price at 9/1, having won over C&D earlier this season. He could well run a big race for in form connections of a reasonable mark.
There's two I like at Ffos Las, Bonobo at 5/1 in the 2.30 and Never Says Never at 7/2 in the 3.40. The latter was still in with a chance of landing a hattrick when falling last time out, but beat some useful sorts before that and could well come back to winning ways here. The former looks to be improving this season and will enjoy conditions. He's won on his only start here and Williams & Wedge had a (fortuitous) winner at Uttoxeter on Saturday so are in decent nick.
Gold Cup winning Gordon Elliot will probably have a good day at Downpatrick with De Plotting Shed (5/2), Autorized Cadeaux (5/2) and Nickname Exit (8/1) all in with a good chance. The latter will have to see off Tulsa Jack (8/1) for Noel Meade though. He looks to have strong form if you can forgive his last run. He's been freshened up since then, so could give a bold showing.
Finally, we go to the flat at the Curragh. I'll happily admit that I'm not the most into flat racing and especially in Ireland. My tactic would usually be to follow horses trained by the obvious ones. Jim Bolger, Aiden O'Brien or Dermot Weld the chief names. Three I like here are Katimavik in the 3.15 at 6/1, Fluff at 5/1 in the 3.50 and finally Ashraf at 9/2 in the 4.55. The latter is unexposed, but a worthy favourite. He drops back to a mile after a poor show over 10f last time out and is the one to beat for me. Fluff is one from one and should give a good run against strong opposition while Katimavik is another course winner who should enjoy conditions.
Good luck all and happy punting.
Friday 18 March 2016
Cheltenham Friday - Gold Cup Day
Hi all,
Apologies for my absence in the last few days, but unfortunately, this is just a hobby and sometimes real-life things have to take priority over that. Hope you all have been doing well at the Festival in my absence. I've been doing pretty well so far with profit for the first three days. Had a great day down at the track on Tuesday, but it was a long slog getting there and back. In any case, let's get stuck into Friday's action.
We start with the Triumph Hurdle, which looks to be a cracker of a race and I'm really struggling for a pick in this. Zubayr is the market leader at 5/1 and he was impressive in the Adonis. An expensive purchase from France despite not showing much, he's obviously highly regarded from a strong stable. Nicholls also runs Clan Des Obeaux, Connetable, Tommy Silver and Frodon and has a might strong hand with that. All four could well improve to take this. Of the five Nicholls runners though, I like Zubayr the best after his Adonis run. Willie Mullins has three in the race, including both fillies in Apple's Jade and Let's Dance. The former is unbeaten, but might prefer softer ground, while the second has not managed to get her head in front yet. On jockey bookings though, Footpad seems his best chance with the in-form Ruby Walsh on board. He was impressive last time out beating better fancied rivals and is three from four for Mullins. Ivanovich Gorbatov disappointed last time out, but had impressed previously and even shortened in price after initial drift on that poor performance. You'd have to take a lot on trust with this one as it's Joseph O'Brien's first big runner at a festival. Alan King also has a strong hand with Who Dares Wins, Gibralfaro and Sceau Royal. The former finished behind a few of these having to concede weight all round, while the second disappointed in the Adonis despite being favourite. The latter is the only one with winning course and distance from and could well be the one to beat. If I had to put my neck on the line, then at the prices I'd side with Sceau Royal, but to be truthful, this is probably one that I'll watch rather than get heavily involved in.
From one difficult puzzle to the next, as we go to the County Hurdle. The one that stands out for me at the weights is Wait For Me. He could be incredibly well handicapped, but that fully relies on him being able to jump. Again you could make an argument for half the field here, but I'm going to pick out two more that I like. First of all, Modus. I'm probably crazy, but for me this reeks of a JP Handicap plot. You don't pay all that money for it unless you have something in particular in mind. He will be much better suited by the good ground as demonstrated in his bumpers last year and it wouldn't surprise me if he ran a big race. Starchitect was in contention for a long way in the BetFair Hurdle and could well go close again, as long as the bounce factor doesn't stop him. Perhaps a bit shorter than I'd have liked though. All three of those should have a live chance and are a nice EW price.
If that wasn't hard enough, there's the Albert Bartlett next and only the seven Willie Mullins runners line up here. Of those, I like Long Dog and Gangster, while I wouldn't rule out a big run from either Bleu et Rouge or Bachasson. The latter will especially be suited by the better ground. Ruby rides Long Dog and the form he's in, he'd be hard to ignore. Barters Hill is the obvious favourite, still unbeaten over hurdles, but he did not impress me at all last time out at Doncaster and I fancy Shantou Village to do him for speed on the home straight.
The main event next and after yesterday, I can only put up one horse for this. Cue Card. Vautour was mightily impressive yesterday in winning the Ryanair Chase, over his preferred distance and he only got beaten by a nose by Colin Tizzard's star in the King George. I can't have Don Cossack at Cheltenham, he's shown nothing much here so far and I don't subscribe to the theory that he would've won the King George. I love Djakadam, but I couldn't back him coming here off a fall. I'm sure he'll give a good account of himself none the less. Don Poli or Don Slowly as he is also known would probably prefer softer ground and although he has course form, I don't think he has the speed to keep up with these. That leaves us with the rejuvenated Cue Card. This has been a season for comebacks and after Sprinter Sacre on Wednesday, this would be the cherry on the cake for a fantastic festival. (For the record, if Vautour ran in this, I'd be all over him. He'd win. Not a doubt in my mind).
It's all downhill from here. I'm not particularly interested in the Foxhunters, but I hope Pendo does well. It'll peak interest in racing and that's what we all want. It Came To Pass would be my pick. In the Martin Pipe, Childrens List and Squouateur both have decent chances and finally in the Grand Annual, Chris Pea Green could run a big race if he settles, but I think this would be between Velvet Maker and Next Sensation.
Apologies for my absence in the last few days, but unfortunately, this is just a hobby and sometimes real-life things have to take priority over that. Hope you all have been doing well at the Festival in my absence. I've been doing pretty well so far with profit for the first three days. Had a great day down at the track on Tuesday, but it was a long slog getting there and back. In any case, let's get stuck into Friday's action.
We start with the Triumph Hurdle, which looks to be a cracker of a race and I'm really struggling for a pick in this. Zubayr is the market leader at 5/1 and he was impressive in the Adonis. An expensive purchase from France despite not showing much, he's obviously highly regarded from a strong stable. Nicholls also runs Clan Des Obeaux, Connetable, Tommy Silver and Frodon and has a might strong hand with that. All four could well improve to take this. Of the five Nicholls runners though, I like Zubayr the best after his Adonis run. Willie Mullins has three in the race, including both fillies in Apple's Jade and Let's Dance. The former is unbeaten, but might prefer softer ground, while the second has not managed to get her head in front yet. On jockey bookings though, Footpad seems his best chance with the in-form Ruby Walsh on board. He was impressive last time out beating better fancied rivals and is three from four for Mullins. Ivanovich Gorbatov disappointed last time out, but had impressed previously and even shortened in price after initial drift on that poor performance. You'd have to take a lot on trust with this one as it's Joseph O'Brien's first big runner at a festival. Alan King also has a strong hand with Who Dares Wins, Gibralfaro and Sceau Royal. The former finished behind a few of these having to concede weight all round, while the second disappointed in the Adonis despite being favourite. The latter is the only one with winning course and distance from and could well be the one to beat. If I had to put my neck on the line, then at the prices I'd side with Sceau Royal, but to be truthful, this is probably one that I'll watch rather than get heavily involved in.
From one difficult puzzle to the next, as we go to the County Hurdle. The one that stands out for me at the weights is Wait For Me. He could be incredibly well handicapped, but that fully relies on him being able to jump. Again you could make an argument for half the field here, but I'm going to pick out two more that I like. First of all, Modus. I'm probably crazy, but for me this reeks of a JP Handicap plot. You don't pay all that money for it unless you have something in particular in mind. He will be much better suited by the good ground as demonstrated in his bumpers last year and it wouldn't surprise me if he ran a big race. Starchitect was in contention for a long way in the BetFair Hurdle and could well go close again, as long as the bounce factor doesn't stop him. Perhaps a bit shorter than I'd have liked though. All three of those should have a live chance and are a nice EW price.
If that wasn't hard enough, there's the Albert Bartlett next and only the seven Willie Mullins runners line up here. Of those, I like Long Dog and Gangster, while I wouldn't rule out a big run from either Bleu et Rouge or Bachasson. The latter will especially be suited by the better ground. Ruby rides Long Dog and the form he's in, he'd be hard to ignore. Barters Hill is the obvious favourite, still unbeaten over hurdles, but he did not impress me at all last time out at Doncaster and I fancy Shantou Village to do him for speed on the home straight.
The main event next and after yesterday, I can only put up one horse for this. Cue Card. Vautour was mightily impressive yesterday in winning the Ryanair Chase, over his preferred distance and he only got beaten by a nose by Colin Tizzard's star in the King George. I can't have Don Cossack at Cheltenham, he's shown nothing much here so far and I don't subscribe to the theory that he would've won the King George. I love Djakadam, but I couldn't back him coming here off a fall. I'm sure he'll give a good account of himself none the less. Don Poli or Don Slowly as he is also known would probably prefer softer ground and although he has course form, I don't think he has the speed to keep up with these. That leaves us with the rejuvenated Cue Card. This has been a season for comebacks and after Sprinter Sacre on Wednesday, this would be the cherry on the cake for a fantastic festival. (For the record, if Vautour ran in this, I'd be all over him. He'd win. Not a doubt in my mind).
It's all downhill from here. I'm not particularly interested in the Foxhunters, but I hope Pendo does well. It'll peak interest in racing and that's what we all want. It Came To Pass would be my pick. In the Martin Pipe, Childrens List and Squouateur both have decent chances and finally in the Grand Annual, Chris Pea Green could run a big race if he settles, but I think this would be between Velvet Maker and Next Sensation.
Sunday 13 March 2016
Cheltenham Tuesday - Champion Day
Cheltenham Tuesday - Champion Day
By @redgameracer
Note: I've left the handicaps out and will address them in a separate blog.
Come one thirty on the Tuesday, the talking will stop. The tapes will go up and once of the most iconic sounds of sport will sound, the Cheltenham Roar. It's one of those instantly recognizable sounds, like the Lord's buzz in cricket and one of the sounds that is associated with the pinnacle of its sport. In this case, National Hunt racing. Twenty-eight races over four, hopefully brilliant, days will have every fan of jumps racing at the edge of their seat. It all kicks off on the Tuesday with Champion Day, featuring four Grade ones, including the Champion Hurdle.
It all starts with the Supreme Novices' Hurdle. The opener has been won by the same connections for the past three years and once again, the favourite is Rich Ricci owned and Willie Mullins trained. Min has done nothing wrong so far in his short career, winning the Grade Two Moscow Flyer on his latest appearance. He's raced keenly, but has impressed with his slick jumping and obvious engine. The way he powered away on the bridle from two rivals in his latest run was remarkable. A number of the horses he has beaten previously have won subsequently, so the form has been franked and on current form, he is the one to beat. Altior is the current second favourite, but I've not been impressed by him. He only just beat Maputo, who finished lame, but at least has C&D form. He will make a great chaser in time, but I don't think he's going to challenge Min in this race. More interesting is his unexposed stable mate, Buveur D'Air. He's two from two and the form of his first race especially has worked out well with the first five behind having gone on to clock up a win. Nicky Henderson has said he will appreciate softer ground and he is not sure to get that, with the weather forecast to be dry. Yorkhill is still listed in the market as fourth favourite and if he were to turn up, he would perhaps be the biggest threat to Min. He won the Tolworth Hurdle in heavy conditions and impressively so. Ruby Walsh was still holding on to hands full of reigns coming to two out and although he was unable to quicken in the conditions he simply cruised home. He's currently more fancied for the Neptune though and may well run in that race. Tombstone for Gordon Elliot is a tough horse and will probably run a big race, but he's not won on his last two appearances in Grade One company and would have to step up. The one that would interest me at a bigger price is Supasundae. He kept on strongly last time out to win at Leopardstown and at 16/1 he could be an interesting each way proposition. Equally, Vigil has some good form in the book for Dermot Weld and it's not often that he sends a runner over hurdles, so this one must be highly thought of. At a best price of 40/1 (Betway) he could also be of interest.
From hurdles, we switch to fences for the two miles novices' chase known as the Arkle Trophy. Named after the famous 'Freak', the Arkle is another Grade One race, although this year it does not look very competitive. The general feeling around is that as long as the hot favourite Douvan stays upright, he will win this. Unbeaten in all seven of his starts, including last year's Supreme and all three of his starts over fences this season, Douvan is being hailed as one of the best in Willie Mullins stable. Considering he also has the likes of Vautour and Faugheen, that's high praise indeed. It's no surprise that he's a very short price for the race and I agree that if he stands up he should win. There's a few candidates to follow him home, but a lot of the horses set to line up also have entries in other races and there remains the question of who is actually going to run here. Sizing John is almost certain to line up here and at 16/1 (best price) he's an attractive proposition to follow the favourite home (Again!). He will probably have to fight it out for that honour with Vaniteux for Nicky Henderson, a trainer with a great record in the race. He is another that has taken well to chasing, his only defeat coming by a neck to Ar Mad, who is sadly out of the race with injury. Of the others, it's hard to see who would turn up and I can't really see past Douvan anyway.
As I said, we'll skip the handicaps, so we'll go straight to the Champion Hurdle next. With the sad omission of Faugheen and Arctic Fire, this race as suddenly become a lot more open. Annie Power has been supplemented for the race following Faugheen's departure and is the current favourite. It is undoubtedly her best chance to win a Champion Hurdle, but I'm not entirely sure why she is favourite. Perhaps it is the hype about her being supplemented that has done it. Yes, she's a wonderful race mare and she certainly deserves her place in the race, but should she be shorter than Nichols Canyon, who has six grade one victories to his name and is the only horse to have beaten Faugheen? Not for my money. Yes Nichols Canyon bombed out in his last race, taking on Faugheen for the lead and getting beat, but that was after a tough race in terrible conditions and I'm willing to forgive him that run. At a price of 11/2, he's far more attractively priced than Annie Power at 9/4. Annie deserves to win a festival race and she has a chance to do it in this race. I just can't back her at the odds given. Of the others, I can't have My Tent Or Yours after two years off, while Peace and Co has been disappointing this season. Identity Thief impressed when winning the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle and then pushed Nichols Canyon all the way at Leopardstown in those poor conditions. He's certainly not without a chance. Henry de Bromhead could well be set for a big opening day and Identity Thief could be another in with a chance. The New One has had his chance and despite decent form this season, I couldn't take it on trust that he can perform on the big stage again. One at a big price could well be Sempre Medici. He impressively beat Identity Thief in a Grade Two at Fairyhouse last year and has on his last two starts, both in Graded races. It's worth noting that Mullins had a 1-2-3 last year and a big run from the outsider is not out of the question for a repeat of that. At 25/1, he could be worth a shilling each way.
Over to the final Grade One of the day, the Mares Hurdle. It's another Mulllins favourite in Vroum Vroum Mag. She's yet to be defeated for Mullins, although only two of her eight starts have been over hurdles. She'd have a live chance in the Ryanair, but she's not going there, so that discussion is moot. Instead, she hopes to succeed where Annie Power so famously failed last year. She will undoubtedly be a very short price, but it is still impossible to oppose her. She's put a number of these in their places last time out in a Grade Two at Ascot and the formlines stack up in her favour. Should she fail to complete then Polly Peachum could well take the spoils for Nicky Henderson. She was just beaten last year in this and was denied on her reappearance, but then beat The Govaness in a listed race at Sandown. However, I fancy the latter to reverse the form with Richard Johnson on board. At 16/1 she's a big price and I'll be interested to see how see goes. Aurore D'Estruval was disappointing at Ascot behind Vroum Vroum Mag, but Bitofapuzzle could be in contention if she leaves her poor chase form behind, back over hurdles. Lily Waugh has been running well in handicaps and she's a tough little mare who has C&D form and with David Noonan on board, she could run a decent race.
The final race we'll look at for day one is the four mile National Hunt Chase. It's another murky race, with some of the principals set to run elsewhere, such as Roi Des Francs. According to the latest reports, he's RSA bound, so we'll ignore him in the market for now. Similarly, I believe Pont Alexandre is unlikely to run here and heads for the JLT instead. The one I like in this race Southfield Royale. He's notched up two chase wins over three miles, before coming second to the impressive Tea for Two on Boxing Day. Leading amateur Nina Carberry has been booked to ride and this one has got a leading chance. Favourite in the market at this point is Minella Rocco for Jonjo O'Neill. The stable form isn't great, but he stayed on impressively behind Vyta Du Roc last time out at Ascot and could well have won that race. It screamed a Jonjo O'Neill & JP McManus handicap plot all season, but it looks like he's going to turn up here instead. Leading amateur Derek O'Conner jumped ship from Native River to take the ride and that could well enhance his chances. Colin Tizzard won't have been too happy, but his charge could still have a say in matters come the finish. Jamie Codd rides Noble Endeavour for Gordon Elliot and he is another prominent in the market. I'm going to stick with Southfield Royale though, hopefully Nina can get a good ride out of him.
Supreme: Min to win @ 2/1, Supasundae EW @ 16/1
Arkle: Douvan to win no bet, Sizing John EW @ 16/1 (or Douvan to beat Sizing John straight forecast)
Champion Hurdle: Nichols Canyon EW @ 11/2
Mares Hurdle: Vroum Vroum Mag to win @ 11/10 , The Govaness EW @ 16/1
National Hunt Chase: Southfield Royale EW @ 10/1
By @redgameracer
Note: I've left the handicaps out and will address them in a separate blog.
Come one thirty on the Tuesday, the talking will stop. The tapes will go up and once of the most iconic sounds of sport will sound, the Cheltenham Roar. It's one of those instantly recognizable sounds, like the Lord's buzz in cricket and one of the sounds that is associated with the pinnacle of its sport. In this case, National Hunt racing. Twenty-eight races over four, hopefully brilliant, days will have every fan of jumps racing at the edge of their seat. It all kicks off on the Tuesday with Champion Day, featuring four Grade ones, including the Champion Hurdle.
It all starts with the Supreme Novices' Hurdle. The opener has been won by the same connections for the past three years and once again, the favourite is Rich Ricci owned and Willie Mullins trained. Min has done nothing wrong so far in his short career, winning the Grade Two Moscow Flyer on his latest appearance. He's raced keenly, but has impressed with his slick jumping and obvious engine. The way he powered away on the bridle from two rivals in his latest run was remarkable. A number of the horses he has beaten previously have won subsequently, so the form has been franked and on current form, he is the one to beat. Altior is the current second favourite, but I've not been impressed by him. He only just beat Maputo, who finished lame, but at least has C&D form. He will make a great chaser in time, but I don't think he's going to challenge Min in this race. More interesting is his unexposed stable mate, Buveur D'Air. He's two from two and the form of his first race especially has worked out well with the first five behind having gone on to clock up a win. Nicky Henderson has said he will appreciate softer ground and he is not sure to get that, with the weather forecast to be dry. Yorkhill is still listed in the market as fourth favourite and if he were to turn up, he would perhaps be the biggest threat to Min. He won the Tolworth Hurdle in heavy conditions and impressively so. Ruby Walsh was still holding on to hands full of reigns coming to two out and although he was unable to quicken in the conditions he simply cruised home. He's currently more fancied for the Neptune though and may well run in that race. Tombstone for Gordon Elliot is a tough horse and will probably run a big race, but he's not won on his last two appearances in Grade One company and would have to step up. The one that would interest me at a bigger price is Supasundae. He kept on strongly last time out to win at Leopardstown and at 16/1 he could be an interesting each way proposition. Equally, Vigil has some good form in the book for Dermot Weld and it's not often that he sends a runner over hurdles, so this one must be highly thought of. At a best price of 40/1 (Betway) he could also be of interest.
From hurdles, we switch to fences for the two miles novices' chase known as the Arkle Trophy. Named after the famous 'Freak', the Arkle is another Grade One race, although this year it does not look very competitive. The general feeling around is that as long as the hot favourite Douvan stays upright, he will win this. Unbeaten in all seven of his starts, including last year's Supreme and all three of his starts over fences this season, Douvan is being hailed as one of the best in Willie Mullins stable. Considering he also has the likes of Vautour and Faugheen, that's high praise indeed. It's no surprise that he's a very short price for the race and I agree that if he stands up he should win. There's a few candidates to follow him home, but a lot of the horses set to line up also have entries in other races and there remains the question of who is actually going to run here. Sizing John is almost certain to line up here and at 16/1 (best price) he's an attractive proposition to follow the favourite home (Again!). He will probably have to fight it out for that honour with Vaniteux for Nicky Henderson, a trainer with a great record in the race. He is another that has taken well to chasing, his only defeat coming by a neck to Ar Mad, who is sadly out of the race with injury. Of the others, it's hard to see who would turn up and I can't really see past Douvan anyway.
As I said, we'll skip the handicaps, so we'll go straight to the Champion Hurdle next. With the sad omission of Faugheen and Arctic Fire, this race as suddenly become a lot more open. Annie Power has been supplemented for the race following Faugheen's departure and is the current favourite. It is undoubtedly her best chance to win a Champion Hurdle, but I'm not entirely sure why she is favourite. Perhaps it is the hype about her being supplemented that has done it. Yes, she's a wonderful race mare and she certainly deserves her place in the race, but should she be shorter than Nichols Canyon, who has six grade one victories to his name and is the only horse to have beaten Faugheen? Not for my money. Yes Nichols Canyon bombed out in his last race, taking on Faugheen for the lead and getting beat, but that was after a tough race in terrible conditions and I'm willing to forgive him that run. At a price of 11/2, he's far more attractively priced than Annie Power at 9/4. Annie deserves to win a festival race and she has a chance to do it in this race. I just can't back her at the odds given. Of the others, I can't have My Tent Or Yours after two years off, while Peace and Co has been disappointing this season. Identity Thief impressed when winning the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle and then pushed Nichols Canyon all the way at Leopardstown in those poor conditions. He's certainly not without a chance. Henry de Bromhead could well be set for a big opening day and Identity Thief could be another in with a chance. The New One has had his chance and despite decent form this season, I couldn't take it on trust that he can perform on the big stage again. One at a big price could well be Sempre Medici. He impressively beat Identity Thief in a Grade Two at Fairyhouse last year and has on his last two starts, both in Graded races. It's worth noting that Mullins had a 1-2-3 last year and a big run from the outsider is not out of the question for a repeat of that. At 25/1, he could be worth a shilling each way.
Over to the final Grade One of the day, the Mares Hurdle. It's another Mulllins favourite in Vroum Vroum Mag. She's yet to be defeated for Mullins, although only two of her eight starts have been over hurdles. She'd have a live chance in the Ryanair, but she's not going there, so that discussion is moot. Instead, she hopes to succeed where Annie Power so famously failed last year. She will undoubtedly be a very short price, but it is still impossible to oppose her. She's put a number of these in their places last time out in a Grade Two at Ascot and the formlines stack up in her favour. Should she fail to complete then Polly Peachum could well take the spoils for Nicky Henderson. She was just beaten last year in this and was denied on her reappearance, but then beat The Govaness in a listed race at Sandown. However, I fancy the latter to reverse the form with Richard Johnson on board. At 16/1 she's a big price and I'll be interested to see how see goes. Aurore D'Estruval was disappointing at Ascot behind Vroum Vroum Mag, but Bitofapuzzle could be in contention if she leaves her poor chase form behind, back over hurdles. Lily Waugh has been running well in handicaps and she's a tough little mare who has C&D form and with David Noonan on board, she could run a decent race.
The final race we'll look at for day one is the four mile National Hunt Chase. It's another murky race, with some of the principals set to run elsewhere, such as Roi Des Francs. According to the latest reports, he's RSA bound, so we'll ignore him in the market for now. Similarly, I believe Pont Alexandre is unlikely to run here and heads for the JLT instead. The one I like in this race Southfield Royale. He's notched up two chase wins over three miles, before coming second to the impressive Tea for Two on Boxing Day. Leading amateur Nina Carberry has been booked to ride and this one has got a leading chance. Favourite in the market at this point is Minella Rocco for Jonjo O'Neill. The stable form isn't great, but he stayed on impressively behind Vyta Du Roc last time out at Ascot and could well have won that race. It screamed a Jonjo O'Neill & JP McManus handicap plot all season, but it looks like he's going to turn up here instead. Leading amateur Derek O'Conner jumped ship from Native River to take the ride and that could well enhance his chances. Colin Tizzard won't have been too happy, but his charge could still have a say in matters come the finish. Jamie Codd rides Noble Endeavour for Gordon Elliot and he is another prominent in the market. I'm going to stick with Southfield Royale though, hopefully Nina can get a good ride out of him.
Supreme: Min to win @ 2/1, Supasundae EW @ 16/1
Arkle: Douvan to win no bet, Sizing John EW @ 16/1 (or Douvan to beat Sizing John straight forecast)
Champion Hurdle: Nichols Canyon EW @ 11/2
Mares Hurdle: Vroum Vroum Mag to win @ 11/10 , The Govaness EW @ 16/1
National Hunt Chase: Southfield Royale EW @ 10/1
Saturday 12 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 12-03
Morning all,
The profitable run came to an end yesterday with a narrow loss of two points. No luck for the best three either as they finished 4th, 3rd and 2nd.
Still five meetings going today despite Cheltenham being around the corner and I've got two horses from my tracker going at Sandown. Both Potters Corner and Dawson City could have place chances although I think both of them could struggle to win.
The NAP today is King of the Wolds. Malcolm Jefferson has his yard in good order and the selection has a win and two places from four appearances here. Despite being by Presenting, he seems to go well in soft-heavy going with five of his wins coming in these conditions. He's been eased a pound in the weights for coming a distant second last time out, but that wasn't too bad a reappearance after a break and if he's fitter for that, he could well be a player
The Next Best comes from the only Irish meeting at Limerick where Tongie is the pick. He is the only C&D winner in this company. He was a distant fifth behind Min in January, but he came second in a handicap hurdle at Gowran latest. He was ridden by Ruby Walsh that day, which means connections must rate him enough to book a top jockey and hopefully he can go well today.
Finally, we go to the big race at Sandown. As I said earlier, Gary Moore often does well at this time of year, away from Cheltenham and Clayton looks a very good chance for him in the Imperial Cup. He was rated as high as 104 on the flat and has been running well in hurdles before finally getting of the mark last time out at Plumpton. He could well be thrown in here of bottom weight and certainly should go close.
12-03
Sandown
1.25 Searching 9/4
2.00 Potters Corner 16/1 Tracker
2.35 Dawson City 8/1 Tracker
3.10 Clayton 15/2 3B
3.45 Avellino 8/1
4.20 Helium 6/1
4.55 Morning Reggie 5/1
Wolverhampton
1.40 Summerinthecity 11/4
2.15 Intrude 6/1
2.50 Realize 7/1
3.25 Gabrial The Terror 14/1
4.00 Intibaah 33/1
4.35 Rocket Power 7/1
5.10 Intermittent 1/1
Ayr
1.45 Master Ruffit 11/4
2.20 Nautical Twilight 11/2
2.55 Bold Sir Brian 4/1
3.30 Innis Shannon 9/1
4.05 King of the Wolds 4/1 NAP
4.40 Western Rules 11/4
5.15 Breakdown Cover 10/1
Chepstow
1.50 Forgivienne 8/1
2.25 Bennys King 14/1
3.00 Oneida Tribe 9/1
3.35 In The Hold 5/1
4.10 Lights of Broadway 9/2
4.45 All Together 11/2
5.20 Candide 11/1
Limerick
2.05 Miss Me Now 11/4
2.40 Double Scores 1/3
3.15 Rebel Cry 13/2
3.50 Tongie 5/2 NB
4.25 Classic Jewel 9/1
5.00 Brooklynn 10/1
5.35 Augustin 5/2
The profitable run came to an end yesterday with a narrow loss of two points. No luck for the best three either as they finished 4th, 3rd and 2nd.
Still five meetings going today despite Cheltenham being around the corner and I've got two horses from my tracker going at Sandown. Both Potters Corner and Dawson City could have place chances although I think both of them could struggle to win.
The NAP today is King of the Wolds. Malcolm Jefferson has his yard in good order and the selection has a win and two places from four appearances here. Despite being by Presenting, he seems to go well in soft-heavy going with five of his wins coming in these conditions. He's been eased a pound in the weights for coming a distant second last time out, but that wasn't too bad a reappearance after a break and if he's fitter for that, he could well be a player
The Next Best comes from the only Irish meeting at Limerick where Tongie is the pick. He is the only C&D winner in this company. He was a distant fifth behind Min in January, but he came second in a handicap hurdle at Gowran latest. He was ridden by Ruby Walsh that day, which means connections must rate him enough to book a top jockey and hopefully he can go well today.
Finally, we go to the big race at Sandown. As I said earlier, Gary Moore often does well at this time of year, away from Cheltenham and Clayton looks a very good chance for him in the Imperial Cup. He was rated as high as 104 on the flat and has been running well in hurdles before finally getting of the mark last time out at Plumpton. He could well be thrown in here of bottom weight and certainly should go close.
12-03
Sandown
1.25 Searching 9/4
2.00 Potters Corner 16/1 Tracker
2.35 Dawson City 8/1 Tracker
3.10 Clayton 15/2 3B
3.45 Avellino 8/1
4.20 Helium 6/1
4.55 Morning Reggie 5/1
Wolverhampton
1.40 Summerinthecity 11/4
2.15 Intrude 6/1
2.50 Realize 7/1
3.25 Gabrial The Terror 14/1
4.00 Intibaah 33/1
4.35 Rocket Power 7/1
5.10 Intermittent 1/1
Ayr
1.45 Master Ruffit 11/4
2.20 Nautical Twilight 11/2
2.55 Bold Sir Brian 4/1
3.30 Innis Shannon 9/1
4.05 King of the Wolds 4/1 NAP
4.40 Western Rules 11/4
5.15 Breakdown Cover 10/1
Chepstow
1.50 Forgivienne 8/1
2.25 Bennys King 14/1
3.00 Oneida Tribe 9/1
3.35 In The Hold 5/1
4.10 Lights of Broadway 9/2
4.45 All Together 11/2
5.20 Candide 11/1
Limerick
2.05 Miss Me Now 11/4
2.40 Double Scores 1/3
3.15 Rebel Cry 13/2
3.50 Tongie 5/2 NB
4.25 Classic Jewel 9/1
5.00 Brooklynn 10/1
5.35 Augustin 5/2
Friday 11 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 11-03
Morning all,
Nearly 12 points profit yesterday and back in positive territory for the month, just as we're gearing up for Cheltenham! I'll try and do those races a bit more in depth and skip the other meetings on those days, but I've been told Gary Moore usually does well while the festival is on, so keep an eye on his runners.
Today we have a bumper six meetings, so plenty to chances to find a winner or two. The NAP yesterday was a winner and today I've gone for Sofi's Spirit over at Dundalk. Second last time out, she's not been easy to win with, but she's been going close lately and it looks like she's found a good opening here. It's not the strongest of races and a good draw in stall two could well see her home.
Bon Enfant could go well in a pretty strong race at Sandown, having won two novice hurdles before coming a narrow second in a handicap at this track. A 6 lbs rise is hopefully negated by the extra distance and he's still pretty unexposed in this sort of company. He'll have conditions to suit as well and although it's a strong race, he should be able to give a good account.
Finally, I'll take a punt on Under Siege in the 7.15 at Chelmsford. A winner on his sole start over C&D in October, he's been given a lengthy break and comes here fresh. If he's fully tuned up, he could overcome a difficult wide draw while getting weight from the hot favourite. He's still unexposed and could easily have more to offer.
11-03
Ayr
2.00 Craiganboy 5/1
2.30 Hatton Springs 8/1
3.05 Dr Moloney 5/2
3.40 Clan Legend 7/4
4.15 The Cobbler Swayne 7/2
4.50 Verona Opera 3/1
5.25 Sevenballs of Fire 7/2
Limerick
2.05 Hanover Street 11/2
2.35 Borussia 11/1
3.10 Danali 10/1
3.45 Inch Rise 4/6
4.20 Mic Milano 7/1
4.55 Unic De Bersy 8/11
Sandown
2.10 Un Prophete 4/1
2.40 Bad Boy Du Pouldu 11/2
3.15 Minellahalfcentury 7/2
3.50 Bon Enfant 9/2 NB
4.25 Chestnut Ben 3/1
5.00 Bagging Turf 4/7
Leicester
2.20 Kerryhead Storm 11/4
2.50 Boston Blue 3/1
3.25 Toby Lerone 4/1
4.00 Riddlestown 11/10
4.35 Some Finish 10/11
5.10 Delta Borget 12/1
Chelmsford City
5.45 Bionic Indian 9/1
6.15 Icebuster 8/1
6.45 Caledonia Laird 11/2
7.15 Under Siege 7/1 3B
7.45 Cee Jay 6/5
8.15 Jaarih 11/1
8.45 Honiton Lace 13/2
Dundalk
6.05 Keytotheoperation 9/1
6.35 Sofi's Spirit 3/1 NAP
7.05 Togoville 10/3
7.35 First Class Ticket 13/2
8.05 No Way Jack 8/1
8.35 Hat Alnasar 15/8
9.05 All Body And Soul 7/2
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
Nearly 12 points profit yesterday and back in positive territory for the month, just as we're gearing up for Cheltenham! I'll try and do those races a bit more in depth and skip the other meetings on those days, but I've been told Gary Moore usually does well while the festival is on, so keep an eye on his runners.
Today we have a bumper six meetings, so plenty to chances to find a winner or two. The NAP yesterday was a winner and today I've gone for Sofi's Spirit over at Dundalk. Second last time out, she's not been easy to win with, but she's been going close lately and it looks like she's found a good opening here. It's not the strongest of races and a good draw in stall two could well see her home.
Bon Enfant could go well in a pretty strong race at Sandown, having won two novice hurdles before coming a narrow second in a handicap at this track. A 6 lbs rise is hopefully negated by the extra distance and he's still pretty unexposed in this sort of company. He'll have conditions to suit as well and although it's a strong race, he should be able to give a good account.
Finally, I'll take a punt on Under Siege in the 7.15 at Chelmsford. A winner on his sole start over C&D in October, he's been given a lengthy break and comes here fresh. If he's fully tuned up, he could overcome a difficult wide draw while getting weight from the hot favourite. He's still unexposed and could easily have more to offer.
11-03
Ayr
2.00 Craiganboy 5/1
2.30 Hatton Springs 8/1
3.05 Dr Moloney 5/2
3.40 Clan Legend 7/4
4.15 The Cobbler Swayne 7/2
4.50 Verona Opera 3/1
5.25 Sevenballs of Fire 7/2
Limerick
2.05 Hanover Street 11/2
2.35 Borussia 11/1
3.10 Danali 10/1
3.45 Inch Rise 4/6
4.20 Mic Milano 7/1
4.55 Unic De Bersy 8/11
Sandown
2.10 Un Prophete 4/1
2.40 Bad Boy Du Pouldu 11/2
3.15 Minellahalfcentury 7/2
3.50 Bon Enfant 9/2 NB
4.25 Chestnut Ben 3/1
5.00 Bagging Turf 4/7
Leicester
2.20 Kerryhead Storm 11/4
2.50 Boston Blue 3/1
3.25 Toby Lerone 4/1
4.00 Riddlestown 11/10
4.35 Some Finish 10/11
5.10 Delta Borget 12/1
Chelmsford City
5.45 Bionic Indian 9/1
6.15 Icebuster 8/1
6.45 Caledonia Laird 11/2
7.15 Under Siege 7/1 3B
7.45 Cee Jay 6/5
8.15 Jaarih 11/1
8.45 Honiton Lace 13/2
Dundalk
6.05 Keytotheoperation 9/1
6.35 Sofi's Spirit 3/1 NAP
7.05 Togoville 10/3
7.35 First Class Ticket 13/2
8.05 No Way Jack 8/1
8.35 Hat Alnasar 15/8
9.05 All Body And Soul 7/2
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
Thursday 10 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 10-03
Morning all,
A fourth day in a row of profit yesterday and a bit more substantial too at just over eight points. Some good price winners in there too at 10/1, 9/1 and 6/1. No such luck on the best three though. The NAP was supposed to run at the abandoned meeting at Fontwell and the NB and 3B couldn't make an impression.
We go again today with a selection from each meeting. The NAP is Revolutionist over at Chelmsford. Mark Johnston's colt is lightly raced, but has two all-weather wins under his belt. He was bitterly disappointing on his last appearance, but won following a break last year at Lingfield, before doing it again on the turf at Windsor. The booking of Sylvester De Souza is a significant one and despite having to give weight to some useful rivals, I'm happy to back the selection to get another win.
The NB is Harleys Max over at Carlisle. He's been raised five lbs for his win over the re-opposing Mumgos Debut last time out, but still has a useful advantage over that rival and I don't think it's enough to stop the selection. His only two wins came in similar conditions and I don't think the extra furlong will bother him.
Finally, I'm going with Clockmaker at Southwell. Conor Dore's yard is on a hot streak at the minute and this one has been knocking on the door lately. He was a neck second to Gracious George latest at Chelmsford, but he's got an excellent record around here, reading 61324222439. He was away slowly on both of those last two starts and hopefully he can find his stride early this time. He kept on well last time, which is probably what prompted the step up in trip. The unexposed Busy Street is an obvious danger, but at the prices, I'm happy to back Clockmaker each way.
10-03
Carlisle
2.00 Baraka de Thaix 11/4
2.35 Baby Bach 11/10
3.05 Gevrey Chambertin 11/2
3.40 Harleys Max 11/2 NB
4.15 Sean Ban 5/6
4.50 Verko 9/4
5.25 Reivers Lad 4/5
Southwell
2.10 Clockmaker 8/1 3B
2.45 Northside Prince 6/4
3.15 Star of Kheleyf 10/1
3.50 Trust Me Boy 6/1
4.25 Vallarta 15/2
5.00 First Rebellion 5/1
5.35 Footlight 9/2
Chelmsford City
5.50 Percella 7/1
6.20 Saeedan 8/1
6.50 Revolutionist 3/1 NAP
7.20 Manjaam 6/1
7.50 Freud 15/2
8.20 Hamis Al Bin 6/1
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
A fourth day in a row of profit yesterday and a bit more substantial too at just over eight points. Some good price winners in there too at 10/1, 9/1 and 6/1. No such luck on the best three though. The NAP was supposed to run at the abandoned meeting at Fontwell and the NB and 3B couldn't make an impression.
We go again today with a selection from each meeting. The NAP is Revolutionist over at Chelmsford. Mark Johnston's colt is lightly raced, but has two all-weather wins under his belt. He was bitterly disappointing on his last appearance, but won following a break last year at Lingfield, before doing it again on the turf at Windsor. The booking of Sylvester De Souza is a significant one and despite having to give weight to some useful rivals, I'm happy to back the selection to get another win.
The NB is Harleys Max over at Carlisle. He's been raised five lbs for his win over the re-opposing Mumgos Debut last time out, but still has a useful advantage over that rival and I don't think it's enough to stop the selection. His only two wins came in similar conditions and I don't think the extra furlong will bother him.
Finally, I'm going with Clockmaker at Southwell. Conor Dore's yard is on a hot streak at the minute and this one has been knocking on the door lately. He was a neck second to Gracious George latest at Chelmsford, but he's got an excellent record around here, reading 61324222439. He was away slowly on both of those last two starts and hopefully he can find his stride early this time. He kept on well last time, which is probably what prompted the step up in trip. The unexposed Busy Street is an obvious danger, but at the prices, I'm happy to back Clockmaker each way.
10-03
Carlisle
2.00 Baraka de Thaix 11/4
2.35 Baby Bach 11/10
3.05 Gevrey Chambertin 11/2
3.40 Harleys Max 11/2 NB
4.15 Sean Ban 5/6
4.50 Verko 9/4
5.25 Reivers Lad 4/5
Southwell
2.10 Clockmaker 8/1 3B
2.45 Northside Prince 6/4
3.15 Star of Kheleyf 10/1
3.50 Trust Me Boy 6/1
4.25 Vallarta 15/2
5.00 First Rebellion 5/1
5.35 Footlight 9/2
Chelmsford City
5.50 Percella 7/1
6.20 Saeedan 8/1
6.50 Revolutionist 3/1 NAP
7.20 Manjaam 6/1
7.50 Freud 15/2
8.20 Hamis Al Bin 6/1
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
Wednesday 9 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 09-03
Morning all,
A third day in a row with profit, albeit a small one once again. But once again a poor performance on the best three. The NAP was pulled up and the NB just finished outside the places in fourth, but at least the 3B won, comfortably so, at 9/2.
A decent few cards lined up today and I've picked out three again that will hopefully do well. Better than we've been doing lately anyway! First, I have to mention today's only tracker horse, Clondaw Cian running in the opener at Fontwell. He's won twice on this track this season, including over hurdles, before finding things a bit too difficult in a pair of grade two races. The latest of those was in a very hot Neptune trial won by Yanworth. He has to give weight stepping back down in class, but hopefully the return to this venue can give him a boost.
The NAP comes from the same venue in Matrow's Lady. She's been running creditably in class four races and drops in class today. She won at this track in a class five earlier in the season and seems the most solid option under Noel Fehily.
The NB comes from Catterick in the shape of Cumbrian Farmer. A C&D winner he found the trip a bit too sharp last time out and steps back up in trip today. Harry Challenor is good value for his three and has won on this horse previously. The key thing for me is that the selection gets two stone from the favourite Shinooki and that could well make the difference.
Finally, I'm taking a punt on Buckleberry at Kempton. A winner on his only all-weather start, he comes here after a long break. However, he has won fresh before and that was last year over C&D. He's got some tough competition to contend with, but if he's fully tuned up, he could go well.
09-03
Catterick
2.00 Deny 9/2
2.30 My Friend George 7/4
3.00 Flemensfirthleader 4/9
3.30 Nefyn Bay 7/1
4.00 Cumbrian Farmer 9/2 NB
4.30 Carlton Ryan 11/10
5.00 Kelka 9/1
Lingfield
2.10 Hawk Moth 8/1
2.40 Majestic Myles 9/4
3.10 Stellarta 10/1
3.40 Shoofly 10/3
4.10 Pink Martini 7/2
4.40 Rose Above 7/4
5.10 Justice Rock 11/2
Fontwell
2.20 Clondaw Cian 4/6 Tracker
2.50 Rolling Dylan 4/5
3.20 Native Robin 11/4
3.50 Flashman 13/2
4.20 Matrow's Lady 11/4 NAP
4.50 Kings Walk 6/1
Kempton
5.40 Clock On Tom 8/1
6.10 Our Channel 6/1
6.40 Eljaddaaf 5/4
7.10 Encapsulated 9/1
7.40 Russian Ranger 8/1
8.10 Buckleberry 11/1 3B
8.40 As A Dream 8/1
A third day in a row with profit, albeit a small one once again. But once again a poor performance on the best three. The NAP was pulled up and the NB just finished outside the places in fourth, but at least the 3B won, comfortably so, at 9/2.
A decent few cards lined up today and I've picked out three again that will hopefully do well. Better than we've been doing lately anyway! First, I have to mention today's only tracker horse, Clondaw Cian running in the opener at Fontwell. He's won twice on this track this season, including over hurdles, before finding things a bit too difficult in a pair of grade two races. The latest of those was in a very hot Neptune trial won by Yanworth. He has to give weight stepping back down in class, but hopefully the return to this venue can give him a boost.
The NAP comes from the same venue in Matrow's Lady. She's been running creditably in class four races and drops in class today. She won at this track in a class five earlier in the season and seems the most solid option under Noel Fehily.
The NB comes from Catterick in the shape of Cumbrian Farmer. A C&D winner he found the trip a bit too sharp last time out and steps back up in trip today. Harry Challenor is good value for his three and has won on this horse previously. The key thing for me is that the selection gets two stone from the favourite Shinooki and that could well make the difference.
Finally, I'm taking a punt on Buckleberry at Kempton. A winner on his only all-weather start, he comes here after a long break. However, he has won fresh before and that was last year over C&D. He's got some tough competition to contend with, but if he's fully tuned up, he could go well.
09-03
Catterick
2.00 Deny 9/2
2.30 My Friend George 7/4
3.00 Flemensfirthleader 4/9
3.30 Nefyn Bay 7/1
4.00 Cumbrian Farmer 9/2 NB
4.30 Carlton Ryan 11/10
5.00 Kelka 9/1
Lingfield
2.10 Hawk Moth 8/1
2.40 Majestic Myles 9/4
3.10 Stellarta 10/1
3.40 Shoofly 10/3
4.10 Pink Martini 7/2
4.40 Rose Above 7/4
5.10 Justice Rock 11/2
Fontwell
2.20 Clondaw Cian 4/6 Tracker
2.50 Rolling Dylan 4/5
3.20 Native Robin 11/4
3.50 Flashman 13/2
4.20 Matrow's Lady 11/4 NAP
4.50 Kings Walk 6/1
Kempton
5.40 Clock On Tom 8/1
6.10 Our Channel 6/1
6.40 Eljaddaaf 5/4
7.10 Encapsulated 9/1
7.40 Russian Ranger 8/1
8.10 Buckleberry 11/1 3B
8.40 As A Dream 8/1
Monday 7 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 08-03
Evening all,
Another marginal profit to end Monday, thanks to Pivotal Flame returning 9/2 in the last at Wolverhampton, but once again there was no joy for the best three. The NAP was second again(!) and the NB and 3B finished down the field in their respective races
We go again on Tuesday with two National Hunt meetings at Exeter and Newcastle and an all-weather one at Southwell. Rather than trying to pick one from each meeting, I'm going to go with my best three all together. We start at Exeter where Kap Jazz goes back over hurdles after an excellent second over fences at Huntingdon. He had a subsequent double winner and another winner behind that day and he has already won over hurdles this season. Aiden Coleman takes the ride for Venetia Williams and he should have a cracking chance here.
The NB runs at the same venue, in the opener. Norse Light was a strongly staying winner at Leicester at the end of January. He enjoyed the heavy conditions that day, but he has won in better conditions on the flat, so that is no concern. He couldn't follow up at Warwick eighteen days later, hanging right on the run-in. The same claimer takes the ride again and I think he can get close again.
Finally, we go to Southwell where Harwoods Star is of interest on debut for a new yard. He has two wins around here from six runs and a place to go with that as well. If he can run up to a similar standard as those performances, he can make an impression in what isn't the strongest race.
08-03
Exeter
2.00 Norse Light 11/2 NB
2.35 Calin Du Brizais 12/1
3.05 Kap Jazz 7/2 NAP
3.40 You Say What 11/2
4.10 Bears Rails 7/2
4.40 Rene's Girl 4/6
Newcastle
2.10 Vodka Red 7/2
2.45 Misfits 6/1
3.15 The Orange Rogue 4/1
3.50 Gunner Lindley 11/1
4.20 Caraline 7/4
4.50 Black Ivory 9/1
Southwell
2.20 Virnon 5/1
2.55 Smugglers Lane 16/1
3.30 Captain Revolution 2/1
4.00 Tasaaboq 11/2
4.30 Extreme Supreme 2/1
5.00 Harwoods Star 9/2 3B
Another marginal profit to end Monday, thanks to Pivotal Flame returning 9/2 in the last at Wolverhampton, but once again there was no joy for the best three. The NAP was second again(!) and the NB and 3B finished down the field in their respective races
We go again on Tuesday with two National Hunt meetings at Exeter and Newcastle and an all-weather one at Southwell. Rather than trying to pick one from each meeting, I'm going to go with my best three all together. We start at Exeter where Kap Jazz goes back over hurdles after an excellent second over fences at Huntingdon. He had a subsequent double winner and another winner behind that day and he has already won over hurdles this season. Aiden Coleman takes the ride for Venetia Williams and he should have a cracking chance here.
The NB runs at the same venue, in the opener. Norse Light was a strongly staying winner at Leicester at the end of January. He enjoyed the heavy conditions that day, but he has won in better conditions on the flat, so that is no concern. He couldn't follow up at Warwick eighteen days later, hanging right on the run-in. The same claimer takes the ride again and I think he can get close again.
Finally, we go to Southwell where Harwoods Star is of interest on debut for a new yard. He has two wins around here from six runs and a place to go with that as well. If he can run up to a similar standard as those performances, he can make an impression in what isn't the strongest race.
08-03
Exeter
2.00 Norse Light 11/2 NB
2.35 Calin Du Brizais 12/1
3.05 Kap Jazz 7/2 NAP
3.40 You Say What 11/2
4.10 Bears Rails 7/2
4.40 Rene's Girl 4/6
Newcastle
2.10 Vodka Red 7/2
2.45 Misfits 6/1
3.15 The Orange Rogue 4/1
3.50 Gunner Lindley 11/1
4.20 Caraline 7/4
4.50 Black Ivory 9/1
Southwell
2.20 Virnon 5/1
2.55 Smugglers Lane 16/1
3.30 Captain Revolution 2/1
4.00 Tasaaboq 11/2
4.30 Extreme Supreme 2/1
5.00 Harwoods Star 9/2 3B
Reds Racing Tips 07-03
Morning all,
A very slim profit yesterday, mainly thanks to Sub Lieutenant winning in Ireland. Still well down for the month, but hopefully it a sign of a turning tide
Three meetings today and I've picked out a horse from each card that I really fancy. The NAP today is Carlo Rocks. He has been running very well at Southwell before disappointing when trying his luck elsewhere and a return to this venue under Dickie Johnson can hopefully spark a revival.
Next, we go to Lingfield where Master Jake is the pick in the opener. He's a C&D winner and has won a couple of races in these conditions at the start of the season. He disappointed last time out, but is taken to bounce back in similar conditions
Finally, we got to Wolverhampton where on his best form Tijuca is a big price at 7/1. A winner here in January, he has a decent chance to improve on his last two outings and be there or thereabouts
07-03
Southwell
2.00 Moscow Me 2/1
2.30 Silver Dragon 11/2
3.00 Final Nudge 8/11
3.30 Bertie Lugg 2/1
4.00 Carlo Rocks 11/4 NAP
4.30 Solstics Dawn 11/2
Lingfield
2.10 Master Jake 9/2 NB
2.40 Gold Carrot 5/1
3.10 Ceann Sibheal 11/8
3.40 De Kerry Man 2/1
4.10 Bagging Turf 7/4
4.40 Veauce De Sivola 6/1
5.10 Good Idea 9/2
Wolverhampton
2.20 Louis Vee 12/1
2.50 John Coffey 15/2
3.20 Spirit Glance 11/4
3.50 Potternello 11/2
4.20 Field of Dream 7/4
4.50 Paddys Motorbike 7/1
5.20 Tijuca 7/1 3B
5.50 Pivotal Flame 9/2
Sunday 6 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 06-03
Morning all,
A somewhat disappointing day yesterday although the loss was limited to a mere three points. The NAP unfortunately went wrong, finishing 99 lengths behind. Luke Morris was given a ban for bringing her home instead of pulling her up and I'm not sure I agree with that. The vets couldn't make the determination she was lame at first, so how was the jockey supposed to do that. If he had pulled her up and she wasn't lame, he'd have been in trouble as well. It's a funny old game and it puts the jockey in an impossible position. I'd expect to see his ban overturned or at least severely reduced. Aside from that, the NB came second, but the 3B was an impressive winner at 13/2.
It's Mother's Day today, so most of my time has been spent preparing breakfast for the wife with the kids, so please take that into account if you want to follow the selections! As such, there's no best three today either. Have a good day all and enjoy it with your families where ever you are.
06-03
Huntingdon
2.00 Red Hammer 5/2
2.30 Virtuose du Chenet 7/2
3.00 Clonusker 15/2
3.30 Arbeo 9/2
4.00 Notebook 5/1
4.30 Song Saa 7/4
5.00 Laval Noir 10/1
Naas
2.10 Gurteen 7/4
2.40 Sub Lieutenant 9/1
3.10 A Great View 6/1
3.40 Wes Hardin 3/1
4.10 A Genie In Abottle 2/1
4.40 Goonyella 10/1 Tracker
5.10 She's A Star 11/4
Sedgefield
2.20 Ryedale Racer 11/8
2.50 Moscow Presents 4/1
3.20 Auldthunder 5/2
3.50 Libby Mae 5/2
4.20 Dalby Spook 14/1
4.50 Hellorboston 4/1
5.20 Moscow Calling 6/4
A somewhat disappointing day yesterday although the loss was limited to a mere three points. The NAP unfortunately went wrong, finishing 99 lengths behind. Luke Morris was given a ban for bringing her home instead of pulling her up and I'm not sure I agree with that. The vets couldn't make the determination she was lame at first, so how was the jockey supposed to do that. If he had pulled her up and she wasn't lame, he'd have been in trouble as well. It's a funny old game and it puts the jockey in an impossible position. I'd expect to see his ban overturned or at least severely reduced. Aside from that, the NB came second, but the 3B was an impressive winner at 13/2.
It's Mother's Day today, so most of my time has been spent preparing breakfast for the wife with the kids, so please take that into account if you want to follow the selections! As such, there's no best three today either. Have a good day all and enjoy it with your families where ever you are.
06-03
Huntingdon
2.00 Red Hammer 5/2
2.30 Virtuose du Chenet 7/2
3.00 Clonusker 15/2
3.30 Arbeo 9/2
4.00 Notebook 5/1
4.30 Song Saa 7/4
5.00 Laval Noir 10/1
Naas
2.10 Gurteen 7/4
2.40 Sub Lieutenant 9/1
3.10 A Great View 6/1
3.40 Wes Hardin 3/1
4.10 A Genie In Abottle 2/1
4.40 Goonyella 10/1 Tracker
5.10 She's A Star 11/4
Sedgefield
2.20 Ryedale Racer 11/8
2.50 Moscow Presents 4/1
3.20 Auldthunder 5/2
3.50 Libby Mae 5/2
4.20 Dalby Spook 14/1
4.50 Hellorboston 4/1
5.20 Moscow Calling 6/4
Saturday 5 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 05-03
Morning all,
The poor start to the month continued yesterday, with another six point loss to take us to -22 for the month. Once again the NAP hit the post, finishing second (thats four in five this week coming second), while the other two both disappointed.
Today's racing sees a massive six cards and it was quite a slog going through them all. I hope I've done them justice. I've got three tracker horses going today and all three should at least have a reasonable chance to go close. This close to Cheltenham, it's not a surprise to see the standard dropping a bit, but there's still some great horses out like Many Clouds and the Druids Nephew as they step up their preparations for the big one at Aintree. Lingfield has a cracker of a card as well on the all-weather.
We start at Lingfield where Apache Glory is the NAP. She won over C&D here last time out and she showed a great turn of foot that day, beating a useful sort in Cartographic. Luke Morris takes the ride again and despite a three lbs raise in the weights, I think she's good enough to follow up.
Next we go to the last at Stratford, where Venetia Williams only horse to run is One Style. He is closely related to More of That and Charlie Deutsch treks over from racing at Newbury earlier to come and take this ride. Although both starts in England have been below par so far, I feel he is the most likely winner if he can reproduce his French form.
Finally, the third selection comes from the opener at Doncaster, where Upsilon Bleu is overpriced. He comes here off top weight, but is three lbs below his last winning mark and will enjoy the soft conditions. He was well backed last time out over fences, but couldn't show anything like his best form and I'm hoping for a bounce back here.
05-03
Newbury
1.45 Bonobo 12/1
2.15 Shotavodka 9/1
2.50 Forest Bihan 14/1
3.25 Generous Ransom 10/1 Tracker
4.00 Itsnowcato 6/1
4.35 Hughesie 7/2
5.10 Pure Vision 6/1
Lingfield
1.55 Apache Glory 11/4 NAP
2.30 Unforgiving Minute 8/1
3.05 Dangerous Thought 7/4
3.40 Bosham 8/1
4.15 Sea of Flames 9/1
4.50 Charlie Lad 5/2
5.25 Ninepointsixthree 8/1
Doncaster
2.00 Upsilon Bleu 13/2 3B
2.35 Waterclock 5/1
3.10 Hollies Pearl 7/1 Tracker
3.45 The Druids Nephew 6/1 Tracker
4.20 Cracked Rear View 11/8
4.55 Rocklim 5/2
5.30 Midnight Maestro 11/4
Kelso
2.05 Imada 11/4
2.40 Morning Royalty 6/4
3.15 Le Prezien 15/8
3.50 Many Clouds 4/7
4.25 Harleys Max 11/2
5.00 Trespassers Will 5/1
Gowran Park
2.10 Kings Line 4/1
2.45 Wild Flyer 18/1
3.20 Spring Forward 6/1
3.55 Toubaloo 11/2
4.30 Goulane's Chosen 11/4
5.05 Salsify 4/5
5.40 Carrig Cathal 5/2
Stratford
2.20 For Goodness Sake 10/3
2.55 Neworld 2/1
3.30 Pursuitofhappiness 7/1
4.05 Knight Bachelor 9/2
4.40 Thinger Licht 15/8
5.15 One Style 10/3 NB
The poor start to the month continued yesterday, with another six point loss to take us to -22 for the month. Once again the NAP hit the post, finishing second (thats four in five this week coming second), while the other two both disappointed.
Today's racing sees a massive six cards and it was quite a slog going through them all. I hope I've done them justice. I've got three tracker horses going today and all three should at least have a reasonable chance to go close. This close to Cheltenham, it's not a surprise to see the standard dropping a bit, but there's still some great horses out like Many Clouds and the Druids Nephew as they step up their preparations for the big one at Aintree. Lingfield has a cracker of a card as well on the all-weather.
We start at Lingfield where Apache Glory is the NAP. She won over C&D here last time out and she showed a great turn of foot that day, beating a useful sort in Cartographic. Luke Morris takes the ride again and despite a three lbs raise in the weights, I think she's good enough to follow up.
Next we go to the last at Stratford, where Venetia Williams only horse to run is One Style. He is closely related to More of That and Charlie Deutsch treks over from racing at Newbury earlier to come and take this ride. Although both starts in England have been below par so far, I feel he is the most likely winner if he can reproduce his French form.
Finally, the third selection comes from the opener at Doncaster, where Upsilon Bleu is overpriced. He comes here off top weight, but is three lbs below his last winning mark and will enjoy the soft conditions. He was well backed last time out over fences, but couldn't show anything like his best form and I'm hoping for a bounce back here.
05-03
Newbury
1.45 Bonobo 12/1
2.15 Shotavodka 9/1
2.50 Forest Bihan 14/1
3.25 Generous Ransom 10/1 Tracker
4.00 Itsnowcato 6/1
4.35 Hughesie 7/2
5.10 Pure Vision 6/1
Lingfield
1.55 Apache Glory 11/4 NAP
2.30 Unforgiving Minute 8/1
3.05 Dangerous Thought 7/4
3.40 Bosham 8/1
4.15 Sea of Flames 9/1
4.50 Charlie Lad 5/2
5.25 Ninepointsixthree 8/1
Doncaster
2.00 Upsilon Bleu 13/2 3B
2.35 Waterclock 5/1
3.10 Hollies Pearl 7/1 Tracker
3.45 The Druids Nephew 6/1 Tracker
4.20 Cracked Rear View 11/8
4.55 Rocklim 5/2
5.30 Midnight Maestro 11/4
Kelso
2.05 Imada 11/4
2.40 Morning Royalty 6/4
3.15 Le Prezien 15/8
3.50 Many Clouds 4/7
4.25 Harleys Max 11/2
5.00 Trespassers Will 5/1
Gowran Park
2.10 Kings Line 4/1
2.45 Wild Flyer 18/1
3.20 Spring Forward 6/1
3.55 Toubaloo 11/2
4.30 Goulane's Chosen 11/4
5.05 Salsify 4/5
5.40 Carrig Cathal 5/2
Stratford
2.20 For Goodness Sake 10/3
2.55 Neworld 2/1
3.30 Pursuitofhappiness 7/1
4.05 Knight Bachelor 9/2
4.40 Thinger Licht 15/8
5.15 One Style 10/3 NB
Friday 4 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 04-03
Morning all,
Only a dismal three winners yesterday sending me back home with a 20 point loss for the day. The NAP once again fell short and for the third time this week finished second. The NB did manage to put a bit of a smile on my face, winning well over at Taunton, but the 3B also disappointed and was pulled up.
Big day today, with good cards at Doncaster and Newbury. The latter meeting has one tracker horse running in Beggars Cross for Jonjo O'Neil with Aiden Coleman riding. He fell last time out, but hopefully he can improve a bit today.
The best three bets come from Lingfield and Doncaster and we start at the former where Inaam is the NAP for Richard Fahey. He won well over C&D last time out, staying on strongly under the same jockey and he seems to have found his groove now.
The NB comes one race earlier at the same venue and Clement was perhaps a tad unlucky in the running last time out to be denied the four timer. He's in here off bottom weight, with Patrick Pilley taking another five off so he should be well in at the weights. With a clear run you'd have to fancy him to go close and score for the fourth time in five races.
Finally, we take the opener at Donny where Pied Du Roi has found a good opening. Charlie Longsdon's charge has been in decent nick, albeit unsuited by the way the race was ran last time out. Leading Northern jockey Brian Hughes takes the ride and he's been in good form of late. He has to shoulder top weight, but the return to good ground should be a bonus and he could well defy the burden.
04-03
Lingfield
2.00 Free Running 10/11
2.30 Flinty Fell 16/1
3.05 What A Party 15/2
3.40 Clement 9/2 NB
4.10 Inaam 7/4 NAP
4.45 Pechora 5/4
Doncaster
2.10 Pied Du Roi 7/1 3B
2.40 Oscar O'scar 9/4
3.15 Mo Chailin 14/1
3.50 Presenting Arms 3/1
4.20 Unbuckled 5/1
4.55 Paris Snow 4/1
5.25 Shrewd 11/8
Newbury
2.20 Zante 14/1
2.50 Beggars Cross 16/1 Tracker
3.25 Festive Affair 7/1
4.00 Nitrogen 10/3
4.30 Mountain Eagle 5/2
5.05 Monetary Fund 6/1
5.35 Only For Love 5/2
Wolverhampton
5.45 Oakley Star 9/1
6.15 Israfel 2/1
6.45 Wolowitz 10/3
7.15 Eastern Dragon 11/8
7.45 All You 8/1
8.15 Bond Trader 15/2
Dundalk
6.00 Split The Atom 6/1
6.30 McGuigan 13/2
7.00 Drillmaster 7/1
7.30 Clear Cut 4/5
8.00 Political Policy 13/2
8.30 Sea of Blue 11/2
9.00 Mr Boss Man 9/1
Only a dismal three winners yesterday sending me back home with a 20 point loss for the day. The NAP once again fell short and for the third time this week finished second. The NB did manage to put a bit of a smile on my face, winning well over at Taunton, but the 3B also disappointed and was pulled up.
Big day today, with good cards at Doncaster and Newbury. The latter meeting has one tracker horse running in Beggars Cross for Jonjo O'Neil with Aiden Coleman riding. He fell last time out, but hopefully he can improve a bit today.
The best three bets come from Lingfield and Doncaster and we start at the former where Inaam is the NAP for Richard Fahey. He won well over C&D last time out, staying on strongly under the same jockey and he seems to have found his groove now.
The NB comes one race earlier at the same venue and Clement was perhaps a tad unlucky in the running last time out to be denied the four timer. He's in here off bottom weight, with Patrick Pilley taking another five off so he should be well in at the weights. With a clear run you'd have to fancy him to go close and score for the fourth time in five races.
Finally, we take the opener at Donny where Pied Du Roi has found a good opening. Charlie Longsdon's charge has been in decent nick, albeit unsuited by the way the race was ran last time out. Leading Northern jockey Brian Hughes takes the ride and he's been in good form of late. He has to shoulder top weight, but the return to good ground should be a bonus and he could well defy the burden.
04-03
Lingfield
2.00 Free Running 10/11
2.30 Flinty Fell 16/1
3.05 What A Party 15/2
3.40 Clement 9/2 NB
4.10 Inaam 7/4 NAP
4.45 Pechora 5/4
Doncaster
2.10 Pied Du Roi 7/1 3B
2.40 Oscar O'scar 9/4
3.15 Mo Chailin 14/1
3.50 Presenting Arms 3/1
4.20 Unbuckled 5/1
4.55 Paris Snow 4/1
5.25 Shrewd 11/8
Newbury
2.20 Zante 14/1
2.50 Beggars Cross 16/1 Tracker
3.25 Festive Affair 7/1
4.00 Nitrogen 10/3
4.30 Mountain Eagle 5/2
5.05 Monetary Fund 6/1
5.35 Only For Love 5/2
Wolverhampton
5.45 Oakley Star 9/1
6.15 Israfel 2/1
6.45 Wolowitz 10/3
7.15 Eastern Dragon 11/8
7.45 All You 8/1
8.15 Bond Trader 15/2
Dundalk
6.00 Split The Atom 6/1
6.30 McGuigan 13/2
7.00 Drillmaster 7/1
7.30 Clear Cut 4/5
8.00 Political Policy 13/2
8.30 Sea of Blue 11/2
9.00 Mr Boss Man 9/1
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
Thursday 3 March 2016
Reds Racing Tips 03-03
Morning all,
a ten point profit for the day on Wednesday and a winning NB at 4/1, but disappointment from the other two. The NAP was utterly disappointing despite showing promise on paper and the 3B finished in similar fashion.
The best three selections tomorrow come from Taunton and Ludlow. We start in the opener at Taunton where Ministerofinterior is two from two over this distance and his recent form stacks up well. Ciaran Gethings is an excellent jockey and he claims off five lbs. That puts him level with his market rival Lac Sacre and that could well be enough for the selection to claim the spoils
We stay at Taunton for the 5.00 where Agincourt Reef is the selection for Gary and Joshua Moore. He shaped well over fences last time out, although he raced lazily. The headgear should help with that this time. He has to see off the competition of course specialist Ballyegan, but I think the Moore's runner is the one to win this.
Finally we go to Ludlow where Truckers Highway is a big price at 9/1. He was last three in his previous race off his higher mark, but he didn't run a bad race in defeat. He could well run another good race here and at the prices he's a decent EW bet.
03-03
Southwell
1.45 Feeling Dicky 16/1
2.15 Spice Mill 5/1
2.50 Spitfire 8/1
3.25 Weald of Kent 9/2
4.00 Rosie Royale 12/1
4.35 Best Tamayuz 9/1
Ludlow
1.55 Diamond Rock 14/1
2.30 Max Forte 9/1
3.05 Truckers Highway 9/1 3B
3.40 Sun Cloud 7/1
4.15 Lady of Longstone 12/1
4.50 Monkey Kingdom 2/1
5.25 Guantoshol 9/1
Taunton
2.05 Ministerofinterior 7/2 NAP
2.40 Justatenner 8/1
3.15 A Plein Temps 9/4
3.50 Nitrogen 3/1
4.25 Impulsive American 15/8
5.00 Agincourt Reef 9/4 NB
5.35 On The Road 4/6
Chelmsford City
6.05 Presto Boy 4/1
6.40 Basma 11/2
7.10 Clockmaker 11/2
7.40 Pinzolo 13/8
8.10 Dark Illustrator 13/2
8.40 Oak Bluffs 11/1
9.10 Sudden Wish 6/1
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
a ten point profit for the day on Wednesday and a winning NB at 4/1, but disappointment from the other two. The NAP was utterly disappointing despite showing promise on paper and the 3B finished in similar fashion.
The best three selections tomorrow come from Taunton and Ludlow. We start in the opener at Taunton where Ministerofinterior is two from two over this distance and his recent form stacks up well. Ciaran Gethings is an excellent jockey and he claims off five lbs. That puts him level with his market rival Lac Sacre and that could well be enough for the selection to claim the spoils
We stay at Taunton for the 5.00 where Agincourt Reef is the selection for Gary and Joshua Moore. He shaped well over fences last time out, although he raced lazily. The headgear should help with that this time. He has to see off the competition of course specialist Ballyegan, but I think the Moore's runner is the one to win this.
Finally we go to Ludlow where Truckers Highway is a big price at 9/1. He was last three in his previous race off his higher mark, but he didn't run a bad race in defeat. He could well run another good race here and at the prices he's a decent EW bet.
03-03
Southwell
1.45 Feeling Dicky 16/1
2.15 Spice Mill 5/1
2.50 Spitfire 8/1
3.25 Weald of Kent 9/2
4.00 Rosie Royale 12/1
4.35 Best Tamayuz 9/1
Ludlow
1.55 Diamond Rock 14/1
2.30 Max Forte 9/1
3.05 Truckers Highway 9/1 3B
3.40 Sun Cloud 7/1
4.15 Lady of Longstone 12/1
4.50 Monkey Kingdom 2/1
5.25 Guantoshol 9/1
Taunton
2.05 Ministerofinterior 7/2 NAP
2.40 Justatenner 8/1
3.15 A Plein Temps 9/4
3.50 Nitrogen 3/1
4.25 Impulsive American 15/8
5.00 Agincourt Reef 9/4 NB
5.35 On The Road 4/6
Chelmsford City
6.05 Presto Boy 4/1
6.40 Basma 11/2
7.10 Clockmaker 11/2
7.40 Pinzolo 13/8
8.10 Dark Illustrator 13/2
8.40 Oak Bluffs 11/1
9.10 Sudden Wish 6/1
Please note, selections priced at 5/1 or greater are 1pt EW, while selections priced smaller than 5/1 are 2pts win.
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