Wednesday 28 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 28-09

Morning all,

A poor effort yesterday and perhaps not enough time spent on the cards with having to do two. For that reason, I'll give the Irish card a miss today, although it doesn't look too bad and focus on the one at Bangor.

2.10 Irish Hawke (9/2) has gone up 9 lbs for his win over Our Three Sons here in August, but he stayed on well and looks to have more up his sleeve. With Bangor tending to be a tricky track, I think the C&D experience will come in handy for this son of Montjeu. He should appreciate the good ground and seems to be the pick of the Donald McCain pair on jockey bookings. McCain has a pretty decent record at this track and that's why I've picked Irish Hawke ahead of the likes of Tempuran (who has been running on the flat mainly) and last time out winners Bumble Bay and Domtaline

2.40 Aqalim (13/8) has been running in Graded staying hurdles for John Ferguson last season, competing with the likes of Thistlecrack. With Ferguson handing in his license, this one has been sold and sent to the in-form Tim Vaughan stable, who has booked the champion jockey to ride him here on chase debut. The pair have been going strongly of late and could well get another winner on board in this four runner affair. The main threat may well come from Charlie Longsdon's Atlantic Gold, with the trainer having a good record here and his charge made a decent enough chase debut last time out.

3.10 A very interesting handicap chase next. What Happens Now comes here chasing the four timer over fences and is respected, but this should be all about Johns Spirit (9/4). Rated as high as 160 at his peak, he now goes off a mark of 136 and should be capable to winning from that rating. He's still got enough ability and showed glimpses of that in his last two races and drops down to class three company for the first time since 2012 when he won a novice handicap chase at Sandown. He should have that little bit of extra class to make his presence felt around here.

3.45 A mares novices' hurdle next and this should be all about Whatsthatallabout (2/5). She comes here on the back of two wins and has to shoulder a double penalty, but the opposition isn't exactly awe-inspiring and she should be too good for them. 

4.20 The colours of Supply And Demand (11/4) are perhaps more famous for their exploits on the flat, but Magnier, Tabor and Smith may get a winner here. Their horse has been off the track for nearly a year, but showed some signs when making it's debut as a four year old at Uttoxeter. If he's fit and ready to go, he should have enough to beat this lot.

4.55 A tricky handicap hurdle to finish off proceedings. Court King ran well to land a competitive hurdle over at Uttoxeter ten days ago, but has to shoulder a penalty for that success, which may well cost him. Similar remarks can be applied to Gabriel Oats, who has been raised 7 lbs for his latest Stratford win. Instead, I'm going to take a chance on Master Ally (8/1) for Rebecca Curtis. She has a great strike rate at this track over hurdles of 36% and the yard seems to have put last years trouble's behind it now. Jonathan Moore has ridden seven winners for her in this year, a strike rate just shy of 30% and his 3 lbs claim could well prove vital in this contest.

No comments:

Post a Comment