Friday 16 September 2016

Reds Racing Tips 16-09

Morning all,

A desperate day yesterday. Two winners at decent price managed to limit the damage, but two well fancied runners had problems as Safe Voyage unseated its rider when coming with a challenge and Almovodar pulled up suddenly in the feature race at Ayr. The NB won well with a nice drift on the odds to boot, but the 3B was not good enough on the day.

We're back to the jumps today and one tracker horse goes over in Ireland. The Game Changer really should be winning the first jumps race at Listowel with plenty in hand, and I'll admit he's no great price, but I'd be surprised if he gets overturned. There's a couple of shorties at Listowel for me, so upsets are always a risk.

The Best three come from the UK, at Hexham and Newton Abbot. The NAP is Black Ivory for Malcolm Jefferson in the 5.35. An impressive winner of a bumper at this track, he now steps up in trip to go hurdling and I think he has a great chance to get off the mark.

The Next Best runs an hour later and I like the chances of hattrick seeking Wyfield Rose. Another C&D winner, who has two 3 mile victories at Perth to her name, she's in excellent form at the moment. She's been raised five lbs, but I don't think that'll be enough to stop her at present, despite a competitive field. The top four in the market all have a good chance.

Finally, we go to Newton Abbot, where The Wealerdealer is the pick in the 3.30. He won over C&D, under Daryl Jacob, in June and although raised 7 lbs for that victory, he could have more to come. Conditions should suit and he could get the better of Princess Tiana who was denied the hattrick at Worcester and steps up in trip.

16-09
Hexham
4.30 Nonchalant  4/1
5.05 Blake Dean 13/8
5.35 Black Ivory 7/4 NAP
6.05 Follow The Swallow 6/1
6.35 Wyfield Rose 11/2 NB
7.05 Fred Le Macon 5/1

Newton Abbot
1.50 Bilidn 20/1
2.20 Master Dancer 3/1
2.55 Frodon 4/6
3.30 The Wealerdealer 5/1 3B
4.05 Strumble Head 8/1
4.40 Honourable Exit 16/1
5.15 Pokari 5/2

Listowel
4.20 The Game Changer 4/9 Tracker
4.55 Tristam Shandy 8/1
5.25 Electric Concorde 8/11
5.55 Trans Highway 10/11

Yesterday's ResultsListowel
4.05 Woodford Island 7/2 - 2nd
4.40 Mister Hotelier 14/1 - 7th
5.15 Buckskin Boulta 15/2 - 9th
5.45 Miss Eyecatcher 5/1 - Won @ 11/2

Ayr
1.30 Double Touch 11/4 - 5th
2.00 Argaki 14/1 - 10th
2.35 Donnelly's Rainbow 18/1 - 5th
3.05 Safe Voyage 4/1 - Unseated Rider
3.40 Falcon's Fire 7/2 - 3rd
4.15 Sattelac 9/1 - 6th
4.50 Almovodar  7/4 NAP - Pulled Up
5.20 Go Go Green 12/1 - 8th

Yarmouth
2.45 Battered 5/2 NB - Won @ 7/2
5.30 Valley of Fire 3/1 3B - 6th

Points Staked: 28
Points Returned: 17.88
Profit: -10.12
Running Total: -25.61 (since 30th August)

Selections are 2 points win at 9/2 or smaller and 1 point each way at 5/1 or bigger

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