Saturday 19 March 2016

Reds Racing Tips 20-03

Evening all,

Going to try a slightly different format for this week. I won't be discussing and tipping every race, but I'll still have a look at every card and see if there's anything that stands out.

For Sunday, we have three jumps meetings and the first flat meeting of the season over at the Curragh. I'll start at Carlisle though, where former Gold Cup winner Long Run is an eye catcher in the last. Obviously a watching brief after two years off and at very short odds, but it will be interesting to see how he goes and if he retains any of that old ability. If anything, this has been the year for comebacks, so you wouldn't rule it out. In the 3.55 Tullamore Dew looks an interesting price at 9/1, having won over C&D earlier this season. He could well run a big race for in form connections of a reasonable mark.

There's two I like at Ffos Las, Bonobo at 5/1 in the 2.30 and Never Says Never at 7/2 in the 3.40. The latter was still in with a chance of landing a hattrick when falling last time out, but beat some useful sorts before that and could well come back to winning ways here. The former looks to be improving this season and will enjoy conditions. He's won on his only start here and Williams & Wedge had a (fortuitous) winner at Uttoxeter on Saturday so are in decent nick.

Gold Cup winning Gordon Elliot will probably have a good day at Downpatrick with De Plotting Shed (5/2), Autorized Cadeaux (5/2) and Nickname Exit (8/1) all in with a good chance. The latter will have to see off Tulsa Jack (8/1) for Noel Meade though. He looks to have strong form if you can forgive his last run. He's been freshened up since then, so could give a bold showing.

Finally, we go to the flat at the Curragh. I'll happily admit that I'm not the most into flat racing and especially in Ireland. My tactic would usually be to follow horses trained by the obvious ones. Jim Bolger, Aiden O'Brien or Dermot Weld the chief names. Three I like here are Katimavik in the 3.15 at 6/1, Fluff at 5/1 in the 3.50 and finally Ashraf at 9/2 in the 4.55. The latter is unexposed, but a worthy favourite. He drops back to a mile after a poor show over 10f last time out and is the one to beat for me. Fluff is one from one and should give a good run against strong opposition while Katimavik is another course winner who should enjoy conditions.

Good luck all and happy punting.

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